Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Which players can go yard tonight? Jason Radowitz has the answers. He's sharing his best home run prop bets for Wednesday.
Jason Radowitz - June 21, 2023, 9:20 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Joc Pederson came through with a monster home run to tie the game against the Padres last night. He helped the Giants earn another come-from-behind victory over the Padres.
And he helped us cash a +440 bet for him to go yard.
That felt good!
Let's look to cash another home-run bet tonight.
June 21 Best MLB Home Run Props
Marcell Ozuna to Hit a Home Run +430 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Aaron Nola has watched his last 61 righties faced hit a .220 ISO and wOBA of .312. He will be overwhelmed tonight, facing a projected Braves lineup that has hit a .243 ISO and wOBA of .383 against righties in the last month.
The Braves have only struck out 18.8% of the time against righties in the last month and should put the ball in play and create pressure situations for Nola.
That will benefit guys like Marcell Ozuna. Ozuna has slugged a .182 ISO and wOBA of .356 with only 21.1% of strikeouts against righties in the last month. He's also hit over 33% of fly balls and line drives and continues to hit hard contact against righties.
This is a good spot for the power slugger.
Andrew Vaughn to Hit a Home Run +560 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
There's so much value here.
Andrew Vaughn has hit a .233 ISO and wOBA of .397 against lefties in the last month. He's also struck out just 9.7% of the time against lefties in the last 30 days while slugging 33.3% of fly balls, 33.3% of line drives, and 70.4% of hard contact.
He'll face left-hander Martin Perez, who has allowed an ISO of .160 and wOBA of .358 to his last 113 righties. He's also allowed 294 righties to hit a .173 ISO and wOBA of .350 on the season.
Perez also allowed righties to hit 26.4% of line drives last month. On top of that, he's given up 46% of hard contact and rarely earns swinging strikes against righties. I like this spot for Vaughn.
Luis Robert to Hit a Home Run +400 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
I'm going to stay fading Martin Perez.
Luis Robert is another right-handed bat that can go yard.
He's hit a .435 ISO and wOBA of .528 against his last 25 lefties faced. He'll strike out 28% of the time. However, Perez has only struck 12.4% of righties in the previous month and 15.6% throughout the season.
Robert has ripped 37.5% of fly balls and 56.2% of hard contact against his last 25 lefties faced.
He and Vaughn have a great opportunity to hit a home run tonight against Perez.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Marcell Ozuna to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
- Andrew Vaughn to Hit a Home Run (+560) (Bet $100 to collect $660)
- Luis Robert to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
MLB Odds
