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The Yankees and the Mariners play the second game of their series tonight. Can the Yankees rock Luis Castillo and the Mariners? Baseball betting expert Krabs answers.
ANALYSIS

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction: Can the Yankees Rock Luis Castillo, Mariners?

The New York Yankees have had one of baseball's worst offenses since Aaron Judge went on the IL. Over the last fifteen days, the Yankees are bottom-two in the league in batting average, on-base percentage, runs, and hits. Tonight, they face the Seattle Mariners ace, Luis Castillo. Will they break out of their hitting slump against one of the best-starting pitchers in baseball?

Yankees vs. Mariners Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: June 21, 2023
  • Time: 7:05 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

New York has lost four of their previous five games but was able to steal the first game of this series last night. After opening up a (+150) favorite, the Yankees are currently (+130) on the moneyline. This is an interesting line move, considering 55% of bets are currently backing the Mariners to win this game (on DraftKings).

It’s clear the Mariners have the pitching advantage in this matchup with Castillo on the bump. The Yankees are calling Jhony Brito back up from the minors after recently demoting him from the major league club. The righty is only 25 years old and has struggled mightily with his command. Even after getting demoted back to AAA, Brito recorded a 7.08 ERA. As bettors, the question shouldn’t be whether we think Brito pitches well tonight or not. The only question that matters is why the Yankees are not +200 with Brito on the mound against Castillo.

Although it is important to know the sport and follow trends, there are times in betting when you have the bet numbers, not the teams. The fact that the worst offense in baseball over in June is only (+130) with Jhony Brito on the mound against Luis Castillo is enough for me to bet on the Yankees tonight.

With the total moving from 8.5 to 7, it’s looking like this game is going to be another low-scoring affair, similar to last night. It’s a great sign for Yankees bettors that the total is this low with Brito starting. If he was going to get blown up, this total would be higher, especially in a hitter-friendly ballpark like Yankee Stadium. With the total at seven, back the Yankees on the run line. Their bullpen could find a way to blow this game, but either way, I see it going down to the wire in a one-run nail-biter.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

New York Yankees +1.5 -130 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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