Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Trying to decide which sluggers are going to go yard this Thursday? Jason Radowitz shares his best home run props for today's MLB slate. Tail these MLB prop bets.
Jason Radowitz - June 22, 2023, 9:29 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
We hit Joc Pederson (+440) on Tuesday and nailed Andrew Vaughn (+560) last night.
We've been on a roll throughout the month. Despite today's card being a little weak, I still found a few players that can hit bombs today.
June 22 Best MLB Home Run Props
Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run +520 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Alex Wood will take the mound for the Giants tonight. He's a lefty that has allowed a .182 ISO and wOBA of .395 to his last 14 lefties faced.
Meanwhile, Juan Soto has hit a .167 ISO and wOBA of .420 against lefties with just 17.2% of strikeouts over the last month. Soto has hit 47.4% of hard contact and could sneak one around the right-field pole.
Wood allowed 37.5% of line drives and 75% of hard contact to his last 14 lefties.
Jesus Sanchez to Hit a Home Run +700 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
The value here is absurd. Jesus Sanchez has slugged a .216 ISO and wOBA of .353 against his last 57 right-handed pitchers faced.
He'll take on Mitch Keller, who has allowed a .222 ISO and wOBA of .421 to his last 72 lefties faced.
Keller has allowed nearly 35% of line drives, has induced only 37.2% of grounders, and has watched lefties hit 58.1% of hard contact over the last month.
In the last month, Keller has also allowed a 16.3% barrel percentage to lefties. Sanchez has a 10.3% barrel percentage against righties in his last month.
This is a great matchup for Sanchez tonight.
Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run +470 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
It'll be Domingo German on the mound for the Yankees. He's watched his last 49 righties faced hit a .279 ISO and wOBA of .432. German is giving up 37.1% of line drives and 48.6% of hard contact to righties in the last month.
He'll face a ton of good righties. But the no-hitter in this Mariners lineup is hotter than Julio Rodriguez against righties.
Rodriguez has smacked a .203 ISO and wOBA of .342 against his last 82 righties faced. He rarely walks, so he'll swing every at-bat against a righty. He's hit over 60% of hard contact and has an above-average barrel percentage of 8.2% against righties over the last month.
I'll take my chances with J-Rod.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to Collect $620)
- Jesus Sanchez to Hit a Home Run (+700) (Bet $100 to Collect $800)
- Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+470) (Bet $100 to Collect $570)
MLB Odds
