Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Need some dinger bets for today? Jason Radowitz shares his best home run bets for Friday's MLB slate. Check them out!
Jason Radowitz - June 23, 2023, 9:42 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
We didn't hit any home run prop yesterday. We faded the right pitchers, but other guys stepped up with the long balls.
But we've got a bigger slate tonight.
There are plenty of options to choose from now. Let's get back to our winning ways.
June 23 Best MLB Home Run Props
Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run +450 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
I've never really faded Logan Gilbert. But he's been bad recently.
Gilbert has allowed lefties to hit a .273 ISO and wOBA of .362 in the last month. He's not getting high grounders against lefties, and he's allowing nearly 30% of fly balls against lefties.
Meanwhile, Henderson should bat lead-off tonight for the Orioles. He'll have plenty of opportunities to hit a long ball. He's smacked a .393 ISO and wOBA of .440 in the last 59 plate appearances against righties. He's also hit 32.5% of line drives and fly balls with 75% of hard contact in that time.
Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run +300 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Rafael Devers has destroyed right-handed pitching in the last month. He's hit a .246 ISO with a wOBA of .353 last month. He's also smacked 78.4% of hard contact when putting the ball in play against righties and has hit over 39% of line drives and fly balls against righties in the last month.
He'll face Lucas Giolito of the White Sox. Giolito has allowed a .300 ISO and wOBA of .364 to his last 36 lefties. He's also allowed a .219 ISO and wOBA of .326 to lefties throughout the season.
On top of that, Giolito has allowed 75% of hard contact and 50% of fly balls and has only earned 20% of ground balls against lefties in the last 30 days. That matches up well with Devers' stats.
Fernando Tatis Jr. to Hit a Home Run +250 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Manny Machado or Gary Sanchez are other options if you're looking for better odds than Tatis Jr.
Any right-handed batter against Patrick Corbin will work.
Tatis Jr. has hit a .444 ISO and wOBA of .526 against his last 24 lefties. He'll face Corbin, who has given up a .196 ISO and wOBA of .431 to his previous 111 righties.
Corbin gives up a ton of line drives, lots of hard contact, and doesn't earn many ground balls against righties.
If not Tatis, you can roll with Machado at +390 or Sanchez at +420.
Machado has a .375 ISO and wOBA of .445 against his last 17 lefties. Sanchez has a .474 ISO and wOBA of .425 against his last 19 lefties.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
- Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+300) (Bet $100 to collect $400)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+250) (Bet $100 to collect $350)
MLB Odds
