Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday
Which players can hit the long ball today? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run prop bets for Monday's MLB slate. Check out these plus-money MLB player prop bets.
Jason Radowitz - July 3, 2023, 9:52 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday
We nailed two of three home run props last night, hitting on Shohei Ohtani and Spencer Torkelson. That felt good. But I want more. Here are three more home run props for tonight's slate of games.
July 3 Best MLB Home Run Props
Fernando Tatis to Hit a Home Run +290 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Fernando Tatis Jr. has slugged a .247 ISO and wOBA of .390 against his last 90 righties faced.
He's taking on Jamie Barria, who has allowed righties to hit a .308 ISO and wOBA of .338 over the last month. Barria has given up more fly balls than ground balls induced to righties in the last month and has rarely earned any swings and misses.
Tatis has also hit 62.7% of hard contact against righties and rarely strikes out. He's going to hit some bullets against Barria tonight.
Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run +330 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
I'll stay in the same game. Juan Soto has smashed a .254 ISO and wOBA of .428 over the last month against righties. He's also struck out at a low rate against righties and is hitting 71.9% of hard contact against righties.
Soto has also hit 26.3% of fly balls and line drives, above the average.
Meanwhile, Barria has given up a .348 ISO and wOBA of .555 to his last 28 lefties faced. Barria has been awful against righties and lefties, so I'm confident in Tatis and Soto delivering home runs tonight.
Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run +380 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
It'll be Bryan Woo on the mound for the Mariners tonight. He's been terrific against righties but has struggled badly against lefties.
Lefties are hitting a .394 ISO and wOBA of .547 against Woo last month. He's also earned just 12% of ground balls and has allowed 40% of fly balls with 40% of line drives against lefties as a right-handed pitcher.
Joc Pederson has slugged 71.4% of hard contact and over 30% of fly balls and line drives against righties in the last month. He's also hitting a .169 ISO and wOBA of .381 against his last 79 righties faced.
This is a great spot for Pederson to hit a bomb.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Fernando Tatis to Hit a Home Run (+290) (Bet $100 to collect $390)
- Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+330) (Bet $100 to collect $430)
- Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run (+380) (Bet $100 to collect $480)
MLB Odds
