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Cincinnati Reds Luke Weaver

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction: Should You Fade Luke Weaver, Reds?

The Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds kick off their four-game series today. Josh Gayle explains why you should fade Luke Weaver and the Reds. Check out his pick and prediction for the game.

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction: Should You Fade Luke Weaver, Reds?

Happy Luke Weaver Day to all who celebrate. Let's dive straight into my pick, prediction, and odds for this game.

Nationals vs. Reds Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: July 3, 2023
  • Time: 6:05 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick

1u - Nationals o2.5 First 5 Team Total -135 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick.

Luke Weaver is arguably my favorite pitcher to fade. The man has thrown 64.2 innings and still has a 6.96 ERA. He has allowed 3+ runs in 11 out of 13 games and is currently on a streak of six straight games.

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Washington Nationals aren't a flashy team, but they have scored 3+ in the first five innings of both of their July games this year. The Nationals bat a respectable .251 against right-handed pitching and get one of the league's best throwers of meatballs.

If you don’t have this market, then I like Weaver o2.5 earned runs as a pivot, and hopefully, Washington doesn’t score on errors that would cause the main bet to win but the pivot to lose. Weaver will go six innings at the absolute most but more than likely just five or so.

This game has a total of 10.5 runs; we know the Cincinnati Reds should score too, but I like both sides here. We don’t trust Washington bats often, but I trust them here, and let's roll!

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