Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Which players can hit the long ball tonight? Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB player prop bets for Thursday's slate. Check out these plus-money MLB home run bets.
Jason Radowitz - July 6, 2023, 9:56 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
There are plenty of good spots in the MLB for home runs tonight.
I will look at the latter portion of the slate so that all my readers have time to get in their bets.
Here are three home run props to consider for tonight.
July 6 Best MLB Home Run Props
Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run +310 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Anthony Santander has slugged 40.6% of line drives and 40.6% of fly balls, with 59.4% of hard contact against righties in the last month.
Santander hasn't hit many ground balls and is also hitting a .238 ISO with a wOBA of .364. He's also struck out only 17% of the time against righties.
Tonight, he'll face Luis Severino of the New York Yankees. Severino has watched his last 57 lefties hit a .271 ISO and wOBA of .461. He's also struck lefties out just 14% of the time and continues to give up a high line drive rate to lefties.
Santander has a great chance at putting one in the seats tonight.
Jose Ramirez to Hit a Home Run +440 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Jose Ramirez has slugged a .288 ISO and wOBA of .469 against his last 78 righties. He's also struck out just 10.3% of the time in the last month against righties.
He'll face Jordan Lyles of the Kansas City Royals. Lyles has a .214 ISO and wOBA of .422 against his last 45 lefties faced. He's also struck out leftie just 6.7% of the time in the last month.
Lyles has struggled with lefties all year. He's allowed a .263 ISO and wOBA of .362 on the season.
Ramirez is one of the most underrated hitters in the MLB. Take him to hit a homer against Lyles.
Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run +440 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Carlos Carrasco will pitch for the Mets tonight. Carrasco has allowed his last 55 righties to hit a .367 ISO and wOBA of .480.
He'll get ground balls and limit fly balls. However, he's given up over 25% of line drives and has allowed 66.7% of hard contact against those last 55 righties.
Christian Walker has slugged a .333 ISO and wOBA of .456 against his last 90 righties. He's also struck out only 12.2% of the time against righties in the last month.
He's live to go yard tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run (+310) (Bet $100 to collect $410)
- Jose Ramirez to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
- Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
MLB Odds
