Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Looking for some players who can hit the long ball tonight? Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB player prop bets for Friday's slate. Check out these plus-money MLB home run bets.
Jason Radowitz - July 21, 2023, 9:17 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Throughout the week, people suggested that the juiced balls were back in the MLB.
Yesterday proved that's probably not the case. Many teams were shut out or held to very few runs. Therefore, we didn't hit a home run prop yesterday.
The good news is that we're back for another chance tonight. Here are three home run props to consider for tonight's MLB slate.
July 21 Best MLB Home Run Props
Joey Meneses to Hit a Home Run (+560) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
I like the value here.
Meneses has hit a .467 ISO and wOBA of .496 against his last 16 lefties. He'll face Alex Wood, who has given up a .275 ISO and wOBA of .386 to his previous 47 righties.
Wood is a left-handed pitcher allowing more fly balls than ground balls induced over the last month. Wood has allowed 75% of hard contact to righties in the previous 30 days.
Meanwhile, Meneses has hit 60% of hard contact over the last 30 days. He's going to go yard tonight!
Nathaniel Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+600) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Nathaniel Lowe has smashed a .245 ISO and wOBA of .419 against his last 66 righties faced. He's also limited strikeouts to 15.2% and has hit nearly 30% of fly balls and line drives against righties in the previous 30 days.
He'll face Tony Gonsolin tonight. Gonsolin has allowed a .308 ISO and wOBA of .466 against his last 30 lefties. He's also given up 55% hard contact and has earned just 20% of strikeouts.
Lowe is in a great position to hit a bomb tonight. At +600, it's a gamble I'm willing to take.
Mickey Moniak to Hit a Home Run (+400) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
If you'd rather play it safe, take Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run. If you want to get a little more risky, back Mickey Moniak.
Moniak's got almost identical numbers as Ohtani against right-handed pitching. Ohtani has hit a .388 ISO and wOBA of .446 against his last 53 righties. Meanwhile, Moniak has hit a .354 ISO and wOBA of .461 against his last 49 righties.
They'll take on Johan Oviedo, who has struck out only 11.9% of lefties in the last month. He's also allowed a .306 ISO and wOBA of .377 against his last 42 lefties.
Both players will do. But the odds on Moniak are better.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Joey Meneses to Hit a Home Run (+560) (Bet $100 to collect $660)
- Nathaniel Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+600) (Bet $100 to collect $700)
- Mickey Moniak to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
MLB Odds
