Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Looking for some MLB player prop bets for Sunday's slate? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for today. Read on to see which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - July 23, 2023, 9:39 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
I didn't have an article yesterday. But I'll recap Friday.
We hit a Nathaniel Lowe homer at +600 on Friday!
It was a terrific week for home run props last week, despite the bad weather around the league.
Let's carry that momentum into today's slate of games. Here are three players who have the potential to hit home runs today.
July 23 Best MLB Home Run Props
Isaac Paredes to Hit a Home Run (+360) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Tyler Wells has allowed a .306 ISO and wOBA of .371 to his last 54 right-handed batters as a right-handed pitcher.
He's induced 23.3% of grounders from righties in the last month and has allowed 37.2% of fly balls with 51.2% of hard contact.
He'll face Isaac Paredes of the Rays, who has slugged against righties over the last month. Paredes has hit a .357 ISO and wOBA of .439 against his last 49 righties. He's also struck out 12.2% of the time while hitting over 36% of line drives and fly balls against righties.
He's on my radar today.
Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+285) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Luke Weaver will take the hill for the Reds. Despite being a right-handed pitcher, he's been horrible against right-handed hitters over the last month.
Weaver has allowed a .515 ISO and wOBA of .641 to his last 35 righties. That's a solid sample size. Weaver has given up a .320 ISO and wOBA of .450 to 185 righties this season.
Meanwhile, Christian Walker will bat fourth for the Diamondbacks today. He's slugged a .324 ISO and wOBA of .402 against his last 80 right-handed pitchers.
Walker also has limited strikeouts and shouldn't strike out against Weaver, who has struck out only 11.4% of righties in the last month.
I like Walker to go yard today.
Mickey Moniak to Hit a Home Run (+540) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
I could pick Shohei Ohtani or Matt Olson to go yard tonight. But there's little value there.
I'll side with Mickey Moniak to go yard instead. Moniak has hit a .333 ISO and wOBA of .496 against his last 66 righties. He'll take on Mitch Keller, who has allowed a .264 ISO and wOBA of .390 to his last 59 lefties faced.
Keller started the year on fire. But he's struggled recently, especially against left-handed pitching.
Ohtani is certainly a great option to hit a homer. But the Angels have many lefties, including Moniak, Mike Moustakas, Matt Thaiss, and Trey Cabbage. Those are all solid options too.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Isaac Paredes to Hit a Home Run (+360) (Bet $100 to collect $460)
- Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+285) (Bet $100 to collect $385)
- Mickey Moniak to Hit a Home Run (+540) (Bet $100 to collect $640)
MLB Odds
