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Francisco Lindor Mets

Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday

Are you looking for MLB player props for Thursday? Jason Radowitz has you covered with his best MLB home run bets. You don't want to miss out on these MLB picks.

Jason Radowitz - July 27, 2023, 9:17 AM EDT

5 min

Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday

We hit on Cody Bellinger to hit a home run last night! His odds were at +330, giving us some profit with yesterday's picks.

Tonight, there are only three games to choose from. There are no incredible spots tonight with solid pitchers on the slate. But we'll try to hit on one anyway.

July 27 Best MLB Home Run Props

Francisco Lindor to Hit a Home Run (+370) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

Francisco Lindor will bat from the left side tonight. He's hit a .333 ISO and wOBA of .431 against his last 65 righties this month.

He'll take on Josiah Gray of the Nationals, who has allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .452 to his last 59 lefties. Gray has improved this season. But he's not doing too hot against lefties lately.

Lindor has slugged 30% of fly balls and line drives over the last month and hit 52% of hard contact against righties. I'll take a chance on Lindor tonight.

Cody Bellinger to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

I've bet on Bellinger in back-to-back days; he delivered last night.

I'll try again tonight.

Bellinger has hit a .286 ISO and wOBA of .503 against his last 62 righties. He's also struck out 8.1% of the time against righties in the previous month.

He'll face Miles Mikolas, who rarely earns strikeouts. Bellinger will put the ball in play and hopefully over the fence. Mikolas has given up 38.9% of fly balls to his last 45 lefties. He's allowed over 31% of line drives to lefties this season.

Josh Naylor to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

Dylan Cease has been all over the place for the White Sox this year.

He's earned high strikeouts, but he's also allowed a .163 ISO and wOBA of .316 to 257 lefties this season.

Those lefties have hit over 29% of fly balls and 28.5% of line drives against Cease this season.

Naylor has hit a .320 ISO and wOBA of .457 against his last 52 righties. He's also hit over 24% of line drives and has hit a 9.8% barrel percentage against righties in the previous 30 days.

He's got a solid matchup against Cease tonight.

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