Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Which players on Friday's slate can hit the long ball? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB player prop home run bets for today. Profit with these plus-money MLB home run prop bets.
Jason Radowitz - July 28, 2023, 9:38 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
With the three-game night slate yesterday, we didn't get a home run. However, those three batters we chose to hit homers still had six total bases on the night. We didn't get one over the fence.
We're back at it again today, and there are many more players to choose from. We're seeing the board well. Here are three home runs props to consider for tonight's slate.
July 28 Best MLB Home Run Props
Spencer Torkelson to Hit a Home Run (+540) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Spencer Torkelson is the only actual bright spot for the Tigers' lineup. He's hit a .483 ISO and wOBA of .393 against his last 33 lefties.
The right-hander has struck out only 12.1% of the time and has extreme potential against Braxton Garrett tonight.
Garrett, a lefty, will take the hill for the Marlins tonight. He's struck out 22% of righties over the last 30 days but has also allowed a .295 ISO and wOBA of .405 to his previous 82 righties faced.
This has been a theme for Garrett. He's allowed a .204 ISO and wOBA of .341 to 321 righties this season.
Take Torkelson to go deep tonight.
Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+320) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Christian Javier hasn't been excellent throughout the year for the Astros. The right-hander has allowed a .234 ISO and wOBA of .383 to his last 88 batters.
Against lefties, he's allowed a .240 ISO and wOBA of .391 while earning just 15.8% of strikeouts over the last month.
Javier has also allowed nearly 10% more fly balls than ground balls induced over the last 30 days against lefties.
He'll take on Luke Raley of the Rays. Raley is a lefty, hitting a .228 ISO and wOBA of .376 against his last 66 righties. He's got a terrific matchup tonight.
Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Dane Dunning is scheduled to start for the Rangers tonight. Dunning has been excellent against righties. But he's struggled against lefties throughout the season.
It's been much worse over the last month. Dunning has allowed a .339 ISO and wOBA of .465 to his previous 66 lefties. He's allowed 33.3% of fly balls and 29.6% of line drives while only inducing 29.6% of ground balls against lefties over the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, Juan Soto has slugged a .339 ISO and wOBA of .431 against his last 71 righties. He's also struck out 15.5% of the time while hitting over 30% of fly balls and line drives against righties in the previous 30 days.
I'll take Soto to go yard tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Spencer Torkelson to Hit a Home Run (+540) (Bet $100 to collect $640)
- Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+320) (Bet $100 to collect $420)
- Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
MLB Odds
