Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for today's slate. He's sharing three MLB player prop bets for Thursday. Read on to see which players can hit the long ball tonight.
Jason Radowitz - August 3, 2023, 9:16 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Alec Bohm had five total bases and four hits but didn't hit a home run. Meanwhile, Nolan Arenado hit a double, and Matt McLain earned a base hit.
Therefore, none of our guys hit a home run last night.
Let's get back on track with tonight's props.
August 3 Best MLB Home Run Props
Yordan Alvarez to Hit a Home Run (+300) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Since returning to the diamond, Yordan Alvarez has already hit a .500 ISO and wOBA of .589 against righties. He's struck out only 6.7% of the time and will face Clarke Schmidt, who has been awful against lefties.
Schmidt has allowed a .314 ISO and wOBA of .360 over the last month to lefties. This has been a trend. He's allowed a .219 ISO and wOBA of .381 to lefties throughout the season.
Alvarez has hit 23.1% of grounders and 53.8% of line drives and fly balls against righties over the last month. Baseball fans are glad he's back.
Let's roll with Alvarez to hit a long ball tonight.
Jake Bauers to Hit a Home Run (+480) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Let's stay in the Yankees-Astros game. Jake Bauers has slugged a .375 ISO and wOBA of .430 against his last 26 righties.
He'll face Christian Javier, who has allowed a .257 ISO and woBA of .340 over the last 30 days. Like Schmidt, this has been a trend. Throughout the year, Javier has allowed a .210 ISO and wOBA of .362 to lefties.
Bauers might strike out a couple of times. But if he gets ahold of one, it's over. Bauers has slugged 38.5% of fly balls and line drives and has hit 61.5% of hard contact while keeping ground balls down to 15.4% over the last month.
He's got a great matchup tonight.
Cody Bellinger to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
You can pick mostly any bat in the Cubs lineup to hit a home run tonight.
Chicago's lineup has hit an ISO of .224 with a wOBA of .393 against righties over the last month.
Only Christopher Morel and Seiya Suzuki have hit for low power against righties over the last 30 days.
Cody Bellinger has slugged a .362 ISO and woBA of .519 against his last 64 righties. He'll face Luke Weaver, who has allowed a .368 ISO and wOBA of .438 over the previous month. He's given up a .324 ISO to lefties and .419 ISO to righties.
Bellinger is the hottest power bat in the Chicago lineup. So I'll ride with him.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Yordan Alvarez to Hit a Home Run (+300) (Bet $100 to collect $400)
- Jake Bauers to Hit a Home Run (+480) (Bet $100 to collect $580)
- Cody Bellinger to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
MLB Odds
