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Matt Chapman Blue Jays

MLB Player Prop Picks Today: Is it Matt Chapman's Time to Shine on Wednesday?

MLB player prop picks for Wednesday, August 9. With so many games on tonight's MLB slate, we need to pick our spots for player props wisely. Luckily for us, MJC Locks has two prop picks for today's Blue Jays vs Guardians game.

MJC Locks - August 9, 2023, 2:42 PM EDT

3 min

MLB Player Prop Picks Today: Is it Matt Chapman's Time to Shine on Wednesday?

I like Matt Chapman today against Logan Allen and the Guardians. I am taking his double and his homerun props as I am expecting an extra-base hit from him and think there is a chance to hit both which he has done 6 times this season.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Date, Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: August 9, 2023
  • Time: 7:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

MLB Player Props

Chapman comes into this game with a double or a home run in 5 of his last 8 road games and is crushing lefties this season, especially on the road. He has a .463 AVG and .415 ISO against lefties on the road and I think he should have more success against Logan Allen tonight. 5 of Chapman’s last 7 hits against left-handed pitching have been doubles or homeruns and he will see a favorable pitch mix that he has hit well. Logan Allen primarily throws his 4-seam fastball and changeup to right-handed batters and Chapman has great numbers with these pitches. Below are his stats to lefty 4-seam fastballs and changeups.

  • vs. 4-Seam Fastballs: .290 AVG | .387 ISO | 71.4% Hard Hit % | 33.3% Barrel % | 6 Doubles/HRs
  • vs. Changeups: .455 AVG | .318 ISO | 85.7% Hard Hit % | 42.9% Barrel % | 5 Doubles/HRs

The data shows that is hitting this pitch mix hard and going for extra bases quite frequently. Additionally, Logan Allen is allowing a .287 AVG to right-handed batters at home and ranks in the bottom 36th percentile in barrel %. This makes for a good matchup for Matt Chapman tonight and I expect that he will barrel one up for an extra-base hit and cash one or both of our props.

MLB Player Prop Picks Today

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