Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Searching for plus-money MLB player props? Jason Radowitz has got you covered! He's sharing his MLB home run bets for tonight's slate of games. Find out which players can hit the long ball this Friday.
Jason Radowitz - August 11, 2023, 9:22 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
It's always easier to find home run props when we've got a full slate of games on the schedule.
I can review all 15 games and narrow my decisions to find the best three props for my betting portfolio.
I'm feeling confident tonight. Here are three home run props to consider for tonight's slate.
August 11 Best MLB Home Run Props
Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+340) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Someone on the Braves will hit a homer tonight.
The Braves have combined to hit a .252 ISO against righties over the last month. The highest ISO number belongs to Austin Riley over the previous month against righties.
Riley has slugged a .435 ISO and wOBA of .474 against his last 95 righties. He'll take on Tylor Megill, who has allowed his last nine righties a .222 ISO and wOBA of .381. Last month, he's allowed a .391 ISO and wOBA of .503.
Megill also spent most of his second half in Triple-A. Take Riley to go deep tonight.
Carlos Santana to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Carlos Santana has slugged a .290 ISO and wOBA of .355 against his last 69 righties. He's limited strikeouts to 15.9% over the previous month and continues to hit for power since landing with the Brewers before the MLB Trade Deadline.
Santana has hit over 29% of fly balls and line drives against righties and has also hit 47.1% of hard contact.
He'll face Michael Kopech of the White Sox. Kopech has allowed a .292 ISO and wOBA of .374 to his last 61 lefties. The right-hander has also struck out just 15% of batters over the last month, allowing nearly 41% of fly balls while inducing just 36.4% of ground balls.
Santana's in a great position to hit one deep tonight.
Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Joc Pederson has hit a .216 ISO and wOBA of .326 against his last 59 righties. He's also struck out just 15.3% of the time against righties.
Beyond that, Peterson has limited ground balls to 34.1% and slugged 34.1% of fly balls and line drives over the last month against righties.
Tonight, he'll take on Jon Gray, who has allowed his last 42 lefties to hit a .200 ISO and wOBA of .398.
Gray has only thrown 77.5 pitches per start over the last month and has allowed 32.1% of fly balls to lefties throughout the previous month on the mound.
Give Pederson a shot to hit a long ball.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+340) (Bet $100 to collect $440)
- Carlos Santana to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
- Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
MLB Odds
