Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Need some player props for Sunday, August 13? Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB home run props for today. Tail these plus-money MLB player props for today.
Jason Radowitz - August 13, 2023, 9:31 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
I didn't get a chance to brag about Friday's home run hit by Austin Riley. So I'll take the time now.
We hit Austin Riley at +340 to hit a home run and added some profit with our home run props on Friday.
Let's carry that momentum into today. Here are three home run props I'll grab today.
August 13 Best MLB Home Run Props
Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+600) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Ketel Marte has slugged a .246 ISO and wOBA of .389 against his last 77 righties. Marte has hit nearly 27% of line drives and fly balls in that span and has hit almost 59% of hard contact.
He'll take on Seth Lugo of the Padres, who has allowed a .393 ISO and wOBA of .425 to his last 65 lefties.
Lugo has allowed 31.1% of fly balls and 57.8% of hard contact against lefties in the last month. Marte isn't a typical home run threat, but at +600, there's too much value to look past this prop.
Will Smith to Hit a Home Run (+360) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
The Dodgers will face Kyle Freeland of the Rockies. He's a left-handed hitter, getting smacked around by righties over the last month and throughout the year. Freeland has allowed a .352 ISO and wOBA of .508 to his last 56 righties. He's also given up a .232 ISO and wOBA of .386 to righties this season. As a lefty, Freeland usually faces a right-handed heavy lineup. He'll do that again today. Will Smith has slugged a .231 ISO and wOBA of .320 against his last 30 lefties. Smith has hit over 44% of fly balls and line drives against lefties and has limited ground balls to 16.7% over the previous month. He'll hit a couple in the air if he keeps the strikeouts down. Take Smith to hit a homer.
Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run (+285) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Pete Alonso has hit a .344 ISO and wOBA of .417 against his last 76 righties. He'll take on Yonny Chirinos, who has allowed a .216 ISO and wOBA of .376 to his last 40 righties. Chirinos has been terrible against both sides of the plate, but Alonso has been easily the most consistent bat for the Mets. He's limited strikeouts to 15.8% over the last month and has hit 37% of fly balls and line drives against righties in that span. Back Alonso to go yard tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+600) (Bet $100 to collect $700)
- Will Smith to Hit a Home Run (+360) (Bet $100 to collect $460)
- Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run (+285) (Bet $100 to collect $385)
MLB Odds
