Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Looking for some MLB player prop bets for Friday? Well, Jason Radowitz has you covered with his MLB home run bets. Read on to find out which players can hit the long ball today.
Jason Radowitz - August 18, 2023, 9:23 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Pete Alonso came through for us last night, earning a +350 bet with a home run.
Let's carry that momentum into tonight's slate of games. I've got three more home run props I'm interested in tonight.
August 18 Best MLB Home Run Props
Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+430) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Austin Riley has smacked a .414 ISO and wOBA of .470 against his last 109 righties. He's like a machine at this point.
That's quite the sample size over the last month.
He'll take on Alex Cobb, who has allowed his last 48 righties to hit a .333 ISO and wOBA of .469. Cobb has struck out just 16.7% of righties in the previous 30 days, compared to 28% of strikeouts against righties this season.
Cobb is sinking fast, and Riley should be able to drive a couple of balls against Cobb in tonight's game. After all, Cobb has allowed 53.8% of hard contact to righties in the last month. Now that he's not earning high strikeouts, Cobb has struggled.
Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run (+350) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Bryce Miller will take the hill for the Mariners tonight. The right-hander can't seem to figure out pitching against lefties.
Miller has allowed a .333 ISO and wOBA of .385 to his last 71 lefties. This season, he's given up a .222 ISO and wOBA of .336 to lefties. Miller has allowed 43.1% of fly balls and has induced just 19.6% of ground balls against lefties in the last 30 days.
On the other hand, Kyle Tucker has slugged a .236 ISO and wOBA of .395 over the last month against righties. He's also limited strikeouts to 11.1%.
Tucker has been red hot at the plate for the Astros. He leads the AL in RBIs. Take him to earn another RBI tonight via the home run.
Ryan McMahon to Hit a Home Run (+390) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Ryan McMahon has hit a .357 ISO and wOBA of .432 against his last 63 righties. McMahon's bat will stay in Coors Field over the weekend. That should help.
He'll face Michael Kopech of the White Sox, who has watched his last 44 righties hit a .231 ISO and wOBA of .383.
Kopech has struck out 16.5% of batters in the last month. That's down from the 23.4% of strikeouts he's had this season.
McMahon has struck out nearly 32% of the time against righties. But the probability he strikes out will decrease against Kopech. If McMahon gets ahold of one, he'll launch a home run.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
- Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run (+350) (Bet $100 to collect $450)
- Ryan McMahon to Hit a Home Run (+390) (Bet $100 to collect $490)
MLB Odds
