Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday
Looking for MLB home tun bets for August 21? Jason Radowitz has you covered with these MLB player props for tonight. Read on to find out which players can hit the long ball on Monday.
Jason Radowitz - August 21, 2023, 10:59 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday
There are a lot of subpar pitchers taking the mound in tonight's MLB slate. That usually means there will be plenty of home runs to go around.
Here are three home run props that I'm attacking with tonight's slate.
August 21 Best MLB Home Run Props
Marcell Ozuna to Hit a Home Run (+400) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Marcell Ozuna has hit a .312 ISO and wOBa of .414 against his last 20 lefties.
He'll take on David Peterson of the Mets tonight. Peterson is a lefty who has allowed a .200 ISO and wOBA of .409 to his last 52 righties.
Peterson has only struck out 19.2% of righties and has allowed 46.7% of hard contact to righties in the last month. Therefore, while Ozuna is a heavy strikeout hitter against Peterson, strikeouts are more unlikely.
Take the right-hander to go deep tonight.
Jose Altuve to Hit a Home Run (+460) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
James Paxton will take the hill for the Red Sox tonight. The lefty has been awful against righties over the last month, giving up a .279 ISO and wOBA of .389 to 90 righties.
Paxton has also allowed over 28% of line drives and 27% of fly balls to righties in that span.
He'll face Jose Altuve of the Astros, who has hit a .304 ISO with a wOBA of .544 against his last 29 lefties. Altuve has struck out just 3.4% of the time against lefties while hitting nearly 32% of fly balls and line drives.
Altuve will at least have four at-bats, if not five, tonight. He'll also likely get at least three at-bats against Paxton. That's got me feeling comfortable with Altuve tonight.
Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+430) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Julio Rodriguez has smacked a .320 ISO and wOBA of .449 against his last 101 righties. Rodriguez is one of the hottest hitters in the MLB and has hit nearly 26% of fly balls and line drives in the previous 30 days.
The right-hander has also hit nearly 61% of hard contact and rarely walks. He'll take on Touki Toussaint of the White Sox. He's another righty, giving up a .263 ISO and wOBA of .414 to his last 45 righties. Toussaint has allowed nearly 67% of hard contact and has given up a 19% barrel percentage to righties in the previous 30 days.
Take Rodriguez to go deep.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Marcell Ozuna to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Jose Altuve to Hit a Home Run (+460) (Bet $100 to collect $560)
- Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
MLB Odds
