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Yankees Aaron Judge Bat Flip

Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday

Searching for plus-money MLB player props for August 23? Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB home run props for today. Find out which players can hit the long ball this Wednesday.

Jason Radowitz - August 23, 2023, 9:32 AM EDT

5 min

Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday

We had the right matchups but went with the wrong players last night.

We took Mookie Betts as a righty against Noah Syndergaard. But it was Will Smith who hit the homer.

We also added Matt Olson to hit a homer as a lefty against Tylor Megill. Instead, it was lefty Eddie Rosario who slugged one out.

Let's get back on track tonight. Here are three more home run props I like on tonight's board.

August 23 Best MLB Home Run Props

Brandon Belt to Hit a Home Run (+550) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

Brandon Belt has clocked a .311 ISO and wOBA of .400 against his last 73 righties. He'll bat third and be the designated hitter for the Blue Jays against Jack Flaherty and the Orioles.

Flaherty has allowed a .226 ISO and woBA of .369 to his last 36 lefties. He's also struck out just 13.9% of lefties in that span.

On top of that, Flaherty has given up 34.6% of fly balls while only inducing 34.6% of ground balls.

Belt has so much power against righties, and he's been red-hot at the plate. At +550, this is a no-brainer.

Aaron Judge to Hit a Home Run (+285) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

Since returning, Aaron Judge has hit a .667 ISO and wOBA of .667 against lefties. It's a small sample size, but after last season, we all know what Judge is capable of against lefties.

He'll take on MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals. He's a left-handed pitcher, allowing a .263 ISO and wOBA of .323 to his last 65 righties.

Gore has allowed more fly balls than line drives and hasn't earned a high whiff or swinging strike rate against righties this month.

Meanwhile, Judge hasn't struck out once against a lefty since returning. Back Judge to go deep tonight.

Joey Meneses to Hit a Home Run (+630) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

Luis Severino will take the hill for the Yankees tonight!

He's been one of the worst pitchers in baseball and will take on a Nationals lineup that has plenty of power production.

Joey Meneses comes to mind. He's hit a .224 ISO and wOBA of .370 against his last 84 righties. He's also struck out just 16.7% of the time against in that span.

Meanwhile, Severino has allowed a .364 ISO and wOBA of .510 to his last 76 batters. Righties have hit a .270 ISO and wOBA of .412. Meneses is in a solid spot to hit a homer tonight.

Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today

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