Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Can Zac Gallen Shut Down the Dodgers?
The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Arizona Diamondbacks play the late-night game on Monday's MLB slate. Can Zac Gallen shut down the Dodgers tonight? Baseball betting expert Krabs answers.
Krabs - August 28, 2023, 4:20 PM EDT
5 minLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Can Zac Gallen Shut Down the Dodgers?
Zac Gallen has been one of the best-starting pitchers in baseball this season. The 28-year-old right-hander is 14-5 this season, the second-best record in baseball. He is in the top 10 in baseball for ERA, strikeouts, and WHIP. What if I told you that tonight, Zac Gallen wasn’t going to look like a potential Cy Young award winner?
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: August 28, 2023
- Game Time: 10:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB.TV
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers are two of the hottest teams in baseball. With a combined record of 14-6 in their last twenty games, these offenses are hitting their stride at the right time. Arizona just recaptured the final NL Wildcard spot, currently 1.5 games ahead of the San Francisco Giants and Cincinnati Reds. This series will be a tough challenge for Arizona’s young pitching rotation as they attempt to keep their playoff spot.
Besides Mookie Betts, the rest of this Dodgers’ lineup doesn’t have great success against Zac Gallen in their careers. Even Freddie Freeman is hitting below .200 against Gallen in over ten at-bats. If Gallen has pitched well against the Dodgers in years prior, why is the over (-125) on his 2.5 earned runs allowed prop…
It doesn’t matter who is facing this Dodgers’ lineup right now. Whether it’s Zac Gallen or Patrick Corbin, the Dodgers are locked in at the plate right now, doing damage against any arm they face. Zac Gallen’s four-game streak of allowing two or fewer earned runs is over tonight.
Yes, Gallen has good stuff and is one of the best arms in baseball, but he’s had luck on his side as well. The xBA, or “expected batting average” of his opponents, has been much higher than their actual stats indicate. Gallen is due for regression, and he won’t have luck on his side in every outing he makes. Tonight could be the night his luck runs out, as he faces the most potent lineup in baseball playing at their best.
I don’t want to fade the Diamondbacks directly in this spot; they are the only team in baseball right now that’s hotter than the Dodgers! Instead, fade Gallen’s earned runs allowed prop. His luck ends tonight.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Zac Gallen o2.5 earned runs allowed -125 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
MLB Odds
