Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Our MLB prop bet home-run picks from Jason Raodwitz have been red hot as he's hit six home-run props in his last seven articles. Today, Jason gives us three more players you should be targeting to go yard.
Jason Radowitz - August 30, 2023, 12:00 AM EDT
3 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
We've now hit seven home runs in the last six articles. What a run it's been! Bryce Harper and Adam Duvall delivered home runs for us last night! Let's keep this crazy streak going! I have three more home run props for tonight's slate.
August 30 Best MLB Home Run Props
Nathaniel Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+430) via FanDuel
If I'm being honest, you can pick your Rangers player. Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, Nathaniel Lowe, and Match Garver have great potential in tonight's game. But I'll test my luck with Lowe. Lowe has smashed a .224 ISO and wOBA of .410 against his last 74 righties. The lefty has limited strikeouts to 20.3%, hitting nearly 29% of fly balls and line drives against righties in the previous 30 days. He'll face Denyi Reyes of the Mets, who was just called up from Triple-A. He's allowed a .160 ISO and wOBA of .396 against 58 batters this season. Lefties have a .167 ISO and wOBA of .471 over the last 30 days against Reyes. Lowe can smash one out tonight.
Isaac Paredes to Hit a Home Run (+460) via FanDuel
Jesus Luzardo will take the hill for the Marlins tonight. He's a left-hander who has allowed a .351 ISO and wOBA of .458 to his last 62 righties faced. Luzardo has allowed 39.5% of fly balls and has induced only 25.6% of ground balls over the last month against righties. Therefore, the right-handed hitter, Issac Paredes, is live to hit a home run tonight. Paredes has smashed a .200 ISO and wOBA of .400 while only striking out 10.3% of the time against lefties in the last 30 days. He's also limited ground balls to 18.2% and has hit over 40% of fly balls and line drives against lefties. When Paredes makes contact against Luzardo, it will be a hard-hit, fly ball with a lot of potential to leave the yard.
Ke'Bryan Hayes to Hit a Home Run (+630) via FanDuel
The Royals will pitch Angel Zerpa to begin tonight's game against the Pirates. He's a left-handed pitcher who will likely get about 50 pitches in tonight's game. That likely means Ke'Bryan Hayes will get two plate appearances against Zerpa. Hayes has hit a .406 ISO and wOBA of .511 against his last 34 lefties. He's also kept strikeouts down while hitting over 33% of line drives and fly balls against lefties. Meanwhile, Zerpa has watched his last 61 righties smash a .283 ISO and wOBA of .442. Hayes should continue his power surge against Zerpa tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Nathaniel Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
- Isaac Paredes to Hit a Home Run (+460) (Bet $100 to collect $560)
- Ke'Bryan Hayes to Hit a Home Run (+630) (Bet $100 to collect $730)
