Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday's ALDS Matchups
There are two games on the slate for today's MLB postseason action. Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB home run bets. Tail these plus-money MLB player prop bets for Tuesday's ALDS matchups.
Jason Radowitz - October 10, 2023, 9:47 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday's ALDS Matchups
There are two games on the slate for today's MLB postseason action.
We've got the Houston Astros-Minnesota Twins game on at 4:07 p.m. ET. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles-Texas Rangers game will be on at 8:03 p.m. ET.
The Rangers lead the Orioles 2-0 in the best-of-five series. With a loss, Baltimore would be eliminated from the playoffs.
On the other hand, the Astros-Twins series is tied up at one. We'll get another game no matter what happens today.
Here are a few home run props to consider for tonight's games.
October 10 Best MLB Home Run Props
Royce Lewis to Hit a Home Run (+310) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Is Royce Lewis the new Mr. October?
Lewis has been on fire to begin his playoff journey. He's also been incredible over the last month.
Lewis has smacked a .477 ISO and wOBA of .478 against his last 53 righties.
He'll take on Christian Javier of the Astros, who has allowed a .219 ISO to righties in the last 30 days. Javier has given up 43.5% of fly balls 39.1% of line drives, and has induced just 8.7% of ground balls to righties over the last month.
Meanwhile, Lewis has hit 38.7% of line drives and fly balls with 74.2% of hard contact and a barrel percentage of 25.8%. Let's ride with Lewis here.
Matt Wallner to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Let's keep attacking Javier.
Javier has allowed a .197 ISO and wOBA of .354 to 372 lefties this season. He's been better against lefties recently, but the postseason is another animal.
The right-hander has allowed 35.1% of fly balls to lefties while inducing 30.9% of ground balls.
Those stats match up with Matt Wallner of the Twins. Wallner has slugged a .259 ISO and wOBA of .427 against his last 63 righties. He's hit 22.9% of fly balls and line drives but also 71.4% of hard contact and a 20% barrel percentage.
Wallner has the power to get one out of the ballpark tonight.
Evan Carter to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
You can choose between Evan Carter and Corey Seager. Those are the two lefties with potential against Dean Kremer.
Kremer has allowed a .179 ISO and wOBA of .343 to his last 46 lefties. Throughout the year, he's been just as bad against lefties, allowing a .197 ISO and wOBA of .355.
Kremer has earned under 35% of grounders and has allowed over 29% of fly balls with 31% of line drives.
That checks out well for lefties.
Carter has hit a .473 ISO and wOBA of .554 against his last 71 righties faced. He's also smacked 57.5% of hard contact.
Take a flier on Carter to keep hitting bombs.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Royce Lewis to Hit a Home Run (+310) (Bet $100 to collect $410)
- Matt Wallner to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
- Evan Carter to Hit a Home Run (+500) (Bet $100 to collect $600)
MLB Odds
