Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday's Conference Games
These Conference Series games have not disappointed. Jason Radowitz is here with his MLB home run bets for today. Don't miss out on these plus-money MLB player prop bets for Thursday's Conference games.
Jason Radowitz - October 19, 2023, 9:19 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday's Conference Games
There are two games on the MLB slate tonight!
The Diamondbacks will welcome the Phillies to Chase Field for Game 3 of the NLCS. Meanwhile, the Astros will look to steal Game 4 from the Texas Rangers to even up their series to 2-2.
There's a lot to get excited about tonight. Here are three home run props to consider for today's MLB action.
October 19 Best MLB Home Run Props
Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Nick Castellanos has had himself a playoff.
He's hitting a .560 ISO and wOBA of .478 against his last 55 righties in the previous 30 days.
Tonight, he'll face Brandon Pfaadt, who has allowed a .247 ISO and wOBA of .370 to 243 righties this season.
Even in the last month, he's allowed a .348 ISO and wOBA of .446 to his previous 46 righties.
Castellanos has hit 40.5% of fly balls and line drives against righties in the last 30 days while hitting 48.6% of hard contact and a 24.3% barrel percentage. He's got all the potential to go deep tonight.
Trea Turner to Hit a Home Run (+440) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Another right-handed bat with loads of potential is Trea Turner. He's hit a .405 ISO and a wOBA of .516 while striking out just 6.5% of the time against righties.
Again, Pfaadt has allowed bad numbers to righties over the last 30 days and throughout the season.
The rookie has allowed 35.3% of fly balls and 32.4% of line drives while inducing only 32.4% of ground balls against righties over the last 30 days.
Turner's been hitting for power over the last month. This is another spot where he can drill one over the wall.
Evan Carter to Hit a Home Run (+390) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Evan Carter has slugged a .488 ISO and wOBA of .561 against his last 55 righties. He's also struck out just 14.5% of the time against righties in the previous 30 days.
He'll take on Jose Urquidy, who has allowed a .320 ISO and wOBA of .358 to his last 29 lefties. Urquidy gave up a .225 ISO and woBA of .331 this season, earning just 32.5% of ground balls. Instead, Urquidy allowed 33.8% of fly balls to 118 lefties this year.
In the last month, Carter has hit 62.9% of hard contact and an 11.4% barrel percentage against righties. Ride the home run train with Carter.
Another lefty option would be Corey Seager, who has hit a .226 ISO and wOBA of .393 against his last 62 righties.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run (+500) (Bet $100 to collect $600)
- Trea Turner to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
- Evan Carter to Hit a Home Run (+390) (Bet $100 to collect $490)
MLB Odds
