
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday's LCS Games
Which players can go deep on tonight's MLB postseason slate? Jason Radowitz answers with his best MLB home run bets. Tail these plus-money MLB player prop bets for Monday's championship series games.
Jason Radowitz - October 23, 2023, 9:17 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday's LCS Games
Tonight could be the night when we figure out our World Series teams in the MLB. The Phillies and Diamondbacks are playing Game 6, with the Phillies leading the series 3-2 in the NLCS. A win from the Phillies tonight would push them back into the World Series for the second consecutive season. Meanwhile, the Rangers-Astros Game 7 is for a World Series berth. The winner of that game will move on to the World Series. Who is going to be clutch tonight? Here are three home run props to consider for tonight's postseason slate.
October 23 Best MLB Home Run Props
Kyle Schwarber to Hit a Home Run (+280) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Kyle Schwarber will lead things off for the Phillies tonight. He's already earned a home run against Merrill Kelly in this series. Schwarber has hit a .447 ISO and wOBA of .413 against his last 41 righties. Meanwhile, Kelly has allowed a .323 ISO and wOBA of .346 to his previous 36 lefties. The left-handed slugger is a boom-or-bust hitter. But he's got 11 NLCS homers in his career and 20 home runs in the playoffs throughout his career. What's another one?
Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+440) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
We'll stay attacking Merrill Kelly with competent lefties. Bryce Harper is another candidate. Harper has hit a .519 ISO and wOBA of .608 against his last 37 righties. Again, Kelly has struggled against lefties. He's struck out only 19.4% of them over the last month and has given up 25% of line drives, with only 37.5% of ground balls in the previous 30 days. On top of that, Kelly has allowed 70.8% of hard contact from lefties and isn't getting many whiffs and swinging strikes. Harper is another guy who can go deep.
Jose Abreu to Hit a Home Run (+470) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Max Scherzer will take the hill for the Rangers tonight. This will be his second game in the postseason, coming off an injury. The Rangers traded for Scherzer at the deadline for moments like tonight. However, against righties, he's allowed a .333 ISO and wOBA of .503 to his last 12 righties. Those were the 12 righties he faced in Game 3 of the ALCS against the Astros. Jose Abreu is the most consistent righty in the lineup for the Astros over the last month against other righties. He's hit a .288 ISO and wOBA of .361 against his last 56 righties. Meanwhile, Scherzer allowed 33.3% of fly balls and induced only 11.1% of ground balls against righties in that game. Abreu's power has real potential against Scherzer.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Kyle Schwarber to Hit a Home Run (+280) (Bet $100 to collect $380)
- Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
- Jose Abreu to Hit a Home Run (+470) (Bet $100 to collect $570)
MLB Odds










