Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Which players can hit the long ball on April 11th? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for today. Profit with this expert's best MLB player prop bets for Thursday.
Jason Radowitz - April 11, 2024, 9:10 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Yesterday, I acknowledged that I hadn't hit a home run prop in two days and shat we were due.
And we were!
Giancarlo Stanton hit a home run yesterday to cash in our +320 home run prop! With a smaller slate tonight, let's dig deeper to find the best home run props for today's slate.
April 11 Best MLB Home Run Props
Brandon Nimmo to Hit a Home Run (+540) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Mets and Braves will begin at 12:20 pm ET. For those who see this in time, Brandon Nimmo has a terrific matchup against Allan Winans of the Braves.
This is Winans' first start of the season. However, last year, he allowed a .238 ISO and wOBA of .421 to 92 lefties last year.
Meanwhile, Nimmo has hit a .230 ISO and wOBA of .379 against righties since last season. He's also hit over 59% of hard contact and 30.2% of fly balls against righties.
Earlier in this series, Nimmo smacked two home runs for the Mets in Truist Park in Game 1. He's got the matchup to hit another one today.
Bobby Witt to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Brown's numbers get ugly fast. Since last year, Bobby Witt has smashed a .222 ISO and wOBA of .352 against righties. He's also struck out just 17.4% of the time and has hit 49.9% of hard contact while hitting a barrel percentage of 12.3%.
Witt will face Hunter Brown of the Astros. Brown typically averages high strikeouts and low walks. But when a ball is put into play.
Last year, Brown allowed 693 batters a .193 ISO and a wOBA of .344. This year, he's already allowed 39 batters, a .212 ISO, and a wOBA of .449.
Righties have only struck out 14.3% of the time and have also hit a .273 ISO and wOBA of .616 in 14 at-bats against Brown.
I'll take my chances with Witt.
Wyatt Langford to Hit a Home Run (+430) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Wyatt Langford still hasn't hit his first Major League home run. He's had 46 at-bats and has hit a respectable .261 with an OPS of .640, but that home run still hasn't happened.
Why not today?
JP Sears is a left-handed thrower who has allowed a .345 ISO and wOBA of .434 to his first 34 righties this season. He's also allowed 34.5% of line drives and fly balls while inducing only 20.7% of ground balls.
In addition, Sears has only struck out 2.9% of 34 righties to begin the year. Langford has legitimate pop and could get ahold of one today.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Brandon Nimmo to Hit a Home Run (+540) (Bet $100 to collect $640)
- Bobby Witt to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
- Wyatt Langford to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
MLB ODDS
