Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
We cashed in on another massive home run ball. Last night, it was Seiya Suzuki, at +500 odds, who homered off of Emerson Hancock, just like we drew it up.
We've nailed three home runs in four days. Let's go for four in five days today!
April 14 Best MLB Home Run Props
Will Benson to Hit a Home Run (+430) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The White Sox will send out Michael Soroka for tonight's matchup against the Reds.
To begin the year, Soroka has allowed a .246 ISO and a wOBA of .398, with just 9.4% strikeouts.
Funny enough, he's allowed a .233 ISO and wOBA of .372 despite inducing 63% of ground balls and allowing just 3.7% of fly balls to righties. Soroka will get better, but only against righties.
Not against the lefties.
Against lefties, Soroka has allowed a .259 ISO and woBA of .423. He's also given up 29.2% of fly balls and has allowed 45.8% of hard contact. The success of lefties is way more sustainable against Soroka.
Therefore, we'll take a chance with left-handed slugger Will Benson. Since last season, Benson has hit a .254 ISO and wOBA of .394 against righties. He's also hit 30.3% of line drives and 48.9% of hard contact.
It's worth a shot with Benson. You can also consider lefties like Jake Fraley, Elly De La Cruz, and Nick Martini against Soroka.
Lane Thomas to Hit a Home Run (+630) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
I know there haven't been many runs in Oakland over the last two days. But at +630, it's worth taking a shot here.
Lane Thomas has smashed a .218 ISO and wOBA of .401 against his last 215 lefties. He'll take on Alex Wood of the Athletics, who is a lefty, allowing a .229 ISO and wOBA of .416.
Wood has induced just 23.1% of fly balls and has allowed 38.5% of line drive contact.
Meanwhile, Thomas has struck out under 17% of the time against lefties since last year and has hit 27.2% of line drive contact with 48.1% of hard contact.
At +630, Thomas has plenty of value.
Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run (+320) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Mariners will take on Javier Assad of the Cubs today. Asaad has already struggled against lefties this season. He's given up a .250 ISO and wOBA of .412 with only 22.2% of ground balls induced.
In addition, Asaad has allowed 44.4% of fly balls and 33.3% of line drives to his first 19 lefties this season.
Seattle's Cal Raleigh has smashed a .230 ISO and wOBA of .338 against his last 495 righties. He's hit more fly balls than ground balls against righties and has also hit a 55.7% hard contact rate.
I like Raleigh's chances today.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Will Benson to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
- Lane Thomas to Hit a Home Run (+630) (Bet $100 to collect $730)
- Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run (+320) (Bet $100 to collect $420)
MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.