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Looking to find out which players can hit the long ball on April 21st? Well, Jason Radowitz is your guy since he's sharing his best MLB home run bets for today. Profit with these MLB player prop bets for Sunday.
ANALYSIS

Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday

It's the moment you've all been waiting for!

I've added three home run props for today's MLB slate.

It's been a fun run over the last two weeks. Let's see if we can get back to our winning ways after no home runs on Friday.

April 21 Best MLB Home Run Props

Bobby Witt Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

The Orioles will send out Cole Irvin for today's series finale against the Orioles. Irvin is a left-handed pitcher who has already allowed a .174 ISO and wOBA of .384 to his first 50 righties this season.

He's also given up 40.5% of fly balls to righties to begin the year. As a lefty, he's always had more trouble against righties.

Meanwhile, he'll face Bobby Witt Jr., who has hit a .235 ISO and wOBA of .367 with just 19.5% of strikeouts against lefties since last season. Witt Jr. attacks lefties, too.

He's not up there to walk, as he's walked just 5% of the time against lefties.

That should make us more confident that he's up there to make a much bigger impact than just a walk. Let's take Witt Jr. to hit a long ball.

Kerry Carpenter to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

Louie Varland will rack up strikeouts against the Tigers; there's no doubt about it. However, Varland could also get caught for a couple of long balls in today's game.

This season, Varland has allowed 43 lefties a .350 ISO and a wOBA of .452. He's also given up 36.7% of fly balls and 56.7% of hard contact to start the year.

This isn't new. Varland allowed a .217 ISO last season and gave up 33.8% of fly balls to 101 lefties.

Meanwhile, Kerry Carpenter has smashed a .228 ISO and wOBA of .375 against righties dating back to last year. Carpenter has smacked 29.7% of fly balls and 51.2% of hard contact with an 11.6% barrel percentage.

Let's go with Carpenter today.

Jazz Chisholm to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

Jazz Chisholm is the Marlins' only consistent hitter against righties since last season. The left-handed slugger Chisholm has a .237 ISO and wOBA of .368 against his last 336 righties faced.

Meanwhile, he'll take on Kyle Hendricks, a righty for the Cubs. Hendricks has already given up a .463 ISO and wOBA of .530 to his first 46 lefties.

Hendricks has struck out only 15.2% of lefties but typically keeps his walks down. That's big news for Chisholm. Essentially, Chisholm has struck out more than 31% of the time against righties. But Hendricks doesn't have put-away stuff to rack up the strikeouts.

Therefore, it's way more likely Chisholm puts the ball in play. If he does that, he's usually a hard-hit ball in the air.

Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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