Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prop Pick: Can Tyler Alexander Silence Brewers' Bats On Road?
The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday night. Can Tyler Alexander stay hot on the mound in Milwaukee? Ben Rajavuori provides his top prop pick in Rays vs. Brewers.
Ben Rajavuori - April 30, 2024, 5:17 PM EDT
5 minTampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prop Pick: Can Tyler Alexander Silence Brewers' Bats On Road?
The Rays and Brewers meet at American Family Field in Milwaukee for game two of a three-game series tonight with the Rays looking to lock up a series win with a victory tonight. The arms on the mound tonight will be the lefty Tyler Alexander for the Rays and righty Freddy Peralta for the Brewers. The Brewers are -175 favorites to take care of business tonight at home and force a rubber match tomorrow. What should we expect in this game?
Rays vs. Brewers DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: April 30, 2024
- Start Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prop Pick
The prop I’m looking at in this game tonight is targeting Tyler Alexander, the Rays' left-handed starting pitcher. Alexander is a sixth-year pitcher in the MLB and spent his first five seasons in Detroit with the Tigers. In his first season with the Rays, he has been slightly underwhelming, sporting a 4.74 ERA across his first five appearances. However, that ERA is slightly inflated by his first two appearances of the season, in which he gave up five earned runs across five innings to the Jays and followed that up with four earned runs in 4.1 innings against the Rockies. Since then, he’s only given up two earned runs over his previous 15.1 innings pitched. Tonight, he gets a very advantageous matchup against the Brewers lineup. The Brewers have been absolutely abysmal against left-handed pitching this season, and it does not appear to be improving for them. The Brewers have been even worse than notably bad teams like the A’s, Marlins, and White Sox against left-handed pitching.
They are batting a league-low .179 against left-handed pitching with just a .582 OPS. They are also second in the MLB with a 28.2% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. Over the last 14 days, they are hitting .182 against lefties with a 28.4% strikeout rate. Tyler Alexander has a line of 4.5 strikeouts tonight with good plus money on the over at +130. This is a line that Alexander has failed to hit yet this season, but tonight could easily be his first time surpassing four strikeouts this year. Alexander averaged one strikeout per inning last season, meaning he would need to go five innings tonight to maintain this average and hit five strikeouts. That should be easily doable against the Brewers lineup that has been the worst in the MLB against left-handed pitching and failed to even score one run yesterday. The Brewers bats are cold right now, and this is a very good matchup for Tyler Alexander on the mound. This is solid value for him to hit five strikeouts for the first time this season.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prop Pick
Pick: Tyler Alexander Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+130) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
MLB ODDS
