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The Pittsburgh Pirates will test their luck against the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday night. Will Martin Perez face repeated struggles on the mound at PNC Park? The Professor provides his top prop pick in Giants vs. Pirates.
ANALYSIS

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prop Pick: Will Martin Perez Continue to Struggle at Home?

The San Francisco Giants will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight for the first matchup of a three-game series. Martin Perez will get the nod for Pittsburgh tonight, who has struggled mightily as of late.

GIANTS VS. PIRATES DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 21, 2024
  • Start Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Perez has allowed 16 earned runs across 15.1 innings of work over his last three starts. Tonight, I'm taking the under on his 17.5 pitching outs, a number he's failed to reach in three of four home starts this season, and five of his last six starts overall. The Pirates had yesterday off, which means the bullpen is rested and ready to go should his struggles continue.

Perez has thrown fewer than 88 pitches in seven out of nine starts this season, so he doesn't have the longest leash to begin with. The Giants have hit left-handed pitchers well over the last two weeks, coming in at no. 9 in wRC+ (122) vs. left-handed pitchers. I'm expecting the Giants to force an early exit for Martin Perez tonight, which is why I'm taking the under on his 17.5 pitching outs prop.

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prop Pick

Pick: Martin Perez Under 17.5 Outs (-130) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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The Professor is known for his data-driven cheat sheets and specializes in NFL, MLB, NBA player props. His passion for statistical analysis has helped him excel in the sports betting world and he brings that same passion to his picks on OddsChecker.

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