Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Prop Picks: Will Fernando Tatis Jr. Deliver on Monday?
The San Diego Padres host the Miami Marlins tonight. Can Fernando Tatis Jr. deliver on Monday? MJCLocks shares his best Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres prop picks.
MJC Locks - May 27, 2024, 11:31 AM EDT
5 minMiami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Prop Picks: Will Fernando Tatis Jr. Deliver on Monday?
Happy Memorial Day. Tonight we have a great matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Padres in San Diego. How will this game shape up?
Marlins vs. Padres DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: May 27, 2024
- Start Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I love today’s matchup for Fernando Tatis Jr. against Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins. Rogers has struggled as of late allowing 4.16 runs per game over his last six starts. His advanced metrics aren’t great either.
This season Rogers ranks:
- seventh percentile in xBA (expected batting average)
- 14th percentile in xERA (expected ERA)
- fourth percentile in average exit velocity
- eighth percentile in hard hit percentage
Tatis Jr. has been hitting well the last few games and has an RBI in four of his last five games with a hit in eight of his last ten games. While he hasn’t hit lefties that well this season, it doesn’t really worry me due to the small sample size.
In his career, he is hitting .290 against lefties with a .245 ISO. I think he gets multiple opportunities with runners in scoring position today and like his odds to go yard.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Prop Picks
(SD) Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs (+190 Bet365) (.55 Units)
2+ RBIs (+650 @ DraftKings) (.15 Units)
3+ RBIs (+1600 @ Bet365) (.1 Units)
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