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The San Diego Padres will take on the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday night out west. Can Fernando Tatis Jr. go deep against the Brewers? MJC Locks is back with his top prop pick for Brewers vs. Padres.
ANALYSIS

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Prop Pick: Can Fernando Tatis Jr. Shine Against Brewers?

The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the San Diego Padres in San Diego on Thursday night, and one player I am looking to target is Padres superstar Fernando Tatis Jr. Tatis didn't have the best series against the Phillies, but I expect him to bounce back tonight at home.

BREWERS VS. PADRES DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: June 20, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 pm ET
  • TV Channel: MLB Extra Innings

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

Tatis has been playing very well at home as of late, and has recorded one or more runs in eight of his last nine games. Over this span he has a .324 batting average and has hit three home runs. He has hit right-handed pitching extremely well this season. He has a .291 batting average and .215 ISO but if you look at his expected numbers, they improve even more. His xBA is .320 and is xISO is .262 which is extremely good.

Bryse Wilson will be on the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers, and I think it sets up for a great matchup for Tatis. Bryse Wilson ranks in the 22nd percentile in xERA and in the 26th percentile in xBA. He is coming off a start where he did not allow a run, but prior to that he had allowed 7, 3, and 4 runs in three straight starts. Additionally, the Padres have crushed righties this season and rank 3rd in wRC+ on the year. Tatis has hit his pitch mix well, so I think he will be able to barrel one up tonight, but at the very least he should be on base multiple times. Tatis has seen Wilson twice this season and he struck out in his first at-bat, but hit a 106.7 MPH groundout in his second at bat, unfortunately right at someone.

I am expecting a solid day at the plate for Fernando Tatis Jr. and the Padres, and think we see Tatis score a run and potentially go yard.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Prop Pick

1 Unit Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record a Run (-105) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

0.25 Unit Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr. home run (+525) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

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Article Author

MLBNBANFL

MJC Locks specializes in player props for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. With a background in statistics, MJC uses an analytical approach to his research to find value in the market. You can follow MJC over on Twitter @MJCLocks.

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