Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Friday? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for June 21st. Read on to profit and find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - June 21, 2024, 9:34 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
For the second time this week, we nailed two home run props in one day.
Thanks to Will Smith (+310) and Gleyber Torres (+400), we had an insane day yesterday. Let's drag that momentum into tonight's MLB slate.
Here are three more home run props you'll want to consider today.
June 21 Best MLB Home Run Props
Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+400) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
I'm not afraid of the lefty-on-lefty matchup against Jordan Montgomery. After all, Bryce Harper has slugged a .258 ISO and wOBA of .398 against lefties over the last 30 days.
On the other hand, Montgomery has allowed a .182 ISO and wOBA of .370 with only 15.4% of strikeouts against lefties.
Ultimately, Montgomery has allowed 55.6% of hard contact to lefties in the last 30 days. Harper has hit 38.9% of hard contact but has also hit more fly balls than ground balls and has used a 16.7% barrel percentage.
I'll take my chances with Harper.
Will Benson to Hit a Home Run (+470) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Will Benson has already hit a .208 ISO and wOBA of .324 against right-handed pitchers over the last month. While his strikeout rate is super high, he's facing Kutter Crawford, who has only struck out lefties 19.7% of the time over the last month.
When Benson connects against righties, it's loud contact. He's hit 38.5% of fly balls and 30.8% of ground balls and has used a 15.4% barrel percentage against righties in the last 30 days. That barrel percentage is the best rate on the Reds against righties in the last 30 days.
On the other hand, Crawford has allowed a .281 ISO and wOBA of .328 to his last 61 lefties. He's also given up 37% of fly balls to lefties.
Benson has a good matchup and if he puts the ball in play, the ball could get over the yard in a hurry.
Trevor Larnach to Hit a Home Run (+440) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Twins have a ton of power bats you can look at today. However, I'll side with the best left-handed bat in a matchup against Joey Estes of the Athletics.
Estes has allowed a .341 ISO and wOBA of .393 to his last 44 lefties. He's also given up 38.9% of fly balls with just 16.7% of ground balls against lefties over the last month.
Additionally, he's earned just 11.4% of strikeouts against in his last 44 lefties.
He'll take on Trevor Larnach of the Twins, who has hit a .250 ISO and wOBA of .359 against righties over the last 30 days. More importantly, Larnach has struck out only 12.1% of the time against righties in the last 30 days.
We'll ride with the lefty tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Will Benson to Hit a Home Run (+470) (Bet $100 to collect $570)
- Trevor Larnach to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
WIN A $25 GIFT CARD ON THE MLB
Think you know what is going to happen on Friday's MLB slate? Make your picks below for your chance to win a $25 gift card if you get a perfect score!
MLB ODDS
