Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Friday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for July 5th. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - July 5, 2024, 9:24 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
We're looking to finish the week strong!
After hitting a bunch of home run props this week, we're getting greedy and looking for more. Here are three of my favorite home run props for tonight's slate in the MLB for July 5.
July 5 Best MLB Home Run Props
Nolan Arenado to Hit a Home Run (+340) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Cardinals have hit a .071 ISO and wOBA of .258 against lefties over the last 30 days. Most of the lineup has been miserable against lefties.
But Arenado is the lone one hitting a high ISO for the Cardinals.
Arenado has knocked a .200 ISO and wOBA of .371 with only 4.3% of strikeouts against lefties over the last 30 days. He's also limited ground balls to 19% and has hit 33.3% of fly balls and 42.9% of line drives against lefties over the last 30 days.
He'll take on Patrick Corbin of the Nationals, who has allowed a .267 ISO and wOBA of .383 to his last 98 righties. Corbin has only struck out 18.4% of righties over the previous month and has allowed 31% of line drives with 29.6% of fly balls.
Arenado matches up really well. Let's take a chance.
Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+480) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
As a left-handed hitter, Ketel Marte has hit a .217 ISO and wOBA of .406 over the last month against righties. He's also struck out only 11% of the time and has hit 50% of hard contact with nearly 30% of fly balls against righties over the last month.
He'll take on Randy Vasquez of the Padres, who has earned only 6.6% of strikeouts against lefties over the last month. Vasquez has also allowed a .225 ISO and wOBA of .508 to 99 lefties this season and has allowed more than 40% of line drives.
Marte has plenty of potential to launch a hard-hit line drive over the wall against Vasquez.
Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run (+390) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Gunnar Henderson has hit a .179 ISO and wOBA of .311 against his last 34 lefties as a left-handed batter.
I don't love betting on a lefty-lefty matchup for a home run. However, Henderson is one of the leaders in home runs this season and will face Hogan Harris of the Athletics.
As a left-handed pitcher, Harris has allowed a .357 ISO and wOBA of .541 to his last 16 lefties. It's not a massive sample size, but it's certainly eye-popping. He's been awful against lefties and will take on one of the best home run hitters in the league tonight.
Eventually, Henderson might see a righty or two once Harris leaves the game. That would only help even more.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Nolan Arenado to Hit a Home Run (+340) (Bet $100 to collect $440)
- Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+480) (Bet $100 to collect $580)
- Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run (+390) (Bet $100 to collect $490)
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MLB ODDS
