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Minnesota Twins Pablo Lopez

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets Prop Pick: Will Pablo Lopez Stay Sharp Against Mets?

The Minnesota Twins will take on the New York Mets on Wednesday afternoon. Can Pablo Lopez lead the Twins with a commanding performance on the mound? Josh Gayle targets the Minnesota pitcher in his Twins vs. Mets prop pick.

Josh Gayle - July 31, 2024, 9:53 AM EDT

5 min

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets Prop Pick: Will Pablo Lopez Stay Sharp Against Mets?

We have some day baseball today. Let's target Pablo Lopez to bring the command on Wednesday afternoon against the Mets.

Twins vs. Mets DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: July 31, 2024
  • Start Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings, SNY

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets Prop Pick

1u Pick: Pablo Lopez u1.5 Walks (-115) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

This is a very straight forward bet so we will keep it short and sweet. This bet has a hit rate I can’t ignore. Lopez has walked one batter or less in 14 of his last 16 starts. One of the two misses were against the Yankees, who walk the most in the whole league. I’m expecting Lopez to walk one guy, but nothing more today.

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets Prediction

Lopez pitches against the Mets today who actually see the ball well. New York walks the 10th most in the league, and are at home where they are seemingly more patient. With that being said, no matter how patient they are it won’t matter if Pablo is pumping strikes. Lopez ranks in the top 20 in all of the MLB in thrown strike percentage.

Pablo faced a similar Mets team last year and went seven innings without a single walk. Lopez in day games has just 6 walks over 58.2 innings, that’s an average of a walk every 9.7 innings pitched. The matchup isn’t phenomenal but this number is usually massively juiced so for -115 it is absolutely worth taking a stab. Let's roll!

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