Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prop Pick: Can Kyle Schwarber Go Yard Against Nationals?
The Philadelphia Phillies will battle the Washington Nationals on Thursday afternoon to open up their NL East series. Can Kyle Schwarber continue his hot hitting at home against the Nats? MJC Locks provides his top prop pick for Nationals vs. Phillies.
MJC Locks - August 15, 2024, 2:37 PM EDT
5 minWashington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prop Pick: Can Kyle Schwarber Go Yard Against Nationals?
We have a smaller MLB Slate today and I am back with another home run play that I am liking for it. For this one we are going to look at the game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals. I am going to be targeting Phillies slugger, Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run today and will be using my home run odds surge boost over on DraftKings to get the best odds on this play.
Nationals vs. Phillies Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: August 15, 2024
- Time: 6:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Kyle Schwarber is having an insane month of August. He has now homered six total times over the last 10 games, and today's matchup looks to be a great one! He will matchup with Nationals lefty, Mitchell Parker, who has not been great as of late. Mitchell Parker ranks in the 13th percentile in total barrels allowed this season and the 25th percentile in expected batting average allowed. His top-three pitches to left-handed batters this season are his 4-seam fastball, slider, and curveball. These are pitches that Kyle Schwarber has hit very well vs. lefties this season as you can see below:
- vs 4-Seam Fastball: six home runs in 65 Plate Appearances (9.2% HR to PA Rate)
- vs Slider: two Home runs in 32 Plate Appearances (6.3% HR to PA Rate)
- vs Curveball: two home runs in eight Plate Appearances (25% HR to PA Rate)
Additionally, Schwarber's exit velocity logs look insane vs lefties as of late. 25 of his last 29 batted balls vs lefties have been hit at least 90 MPH exit velocity which is elite. This kind of contact results in home runs, and that's what I expect will happen here today for Kyle Schwarber.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prop Pick
0.25 Unit Pick: Kyle Schwarber to hit a Home run (+370) Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies System Projections - August 15th
MLB Odds
