Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Friday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for August 16th. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - August 16, 2024, 9:16 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
We nailed Nick Castellanos (+400) last night. That was our fourth home run prop hit of the week. Let's see if we can add another one with tonight's 14-game slate.
Join the fun below!
August 16 Best MLB Home Run Props
Francisco Lindor to Hit a Home Run (+300) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Over the last month, from the left side, Francisco Lindor has smacked a .190 ISO and wOBA of .422.
He most recently hit his 100th home run as a New York Met. Now he'll be looking for 101 tonight.
Lindor is facing Roddery Munoz of the Marlins, who has watched his last 52 lefties hit a .302 ISO and wOBA of .411. This is a common theme with Munoz. Throughout the season, Munoz has given up a . .371 ISO and wOBA of .441 to 156 lefties this year.
In addition, Munoz has allowed 38.7% of fly balls with only 31.1% of ground balls. He's also allowed more than 50% of hard contact to lefties.
Let's take a shot with Lindor at +300.
Josh Naylor to Hit a Home Run (+350) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Josh Naylor has hit a .250 ISO and wOBA of .378 against righties over the last month. He's also struck out just 20% of the time and has added 57.4% of hard contact with nearly 30% of fly balls.
He'll likely continue launching fly balls tonight. He'll go up against Aaron Civale of the Brewers, who has allowed 38.7% of fly balls to lefties over the last month. The right-handed starter has also allowed a .268 ISO and wOBA of .370 to his last 47 lefties with only 21.3% of strikeouts.
Civale has also given up 48.4% of hard contact and a 12.9% barrel percentage to lefties over the past month. Let's take Naylor to hit one deep.
Jackson Merrill to Hit a Home Run (+420) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Jackson Merrill is making a case to be this year's National League Rookie of the Year. With Paul Skenes also pitching tonight, going deep is the best way to stay in the race.
Merrill has smashed a .381 ISO and wOBA of .443 against his last 71 righties. He's hit 33.3% of fly balls and has added a 54.2% hard contact rate with a team-best 18.8% barrel percentage against righties over the last 30 days.
On the other hand, he'll take on Cal Quantrill of the Rockies. Quantrill has allowed a .259 ISO and wOBA of .412 to his last 61 lefties. He's also struck out just 6.6% of lefties in that time and has allowed 54% of hard contact with 32% of line drives.
With Quantrill pitching in Coors Field, Merrill has much potential to hit one out of the yard. Let's take our chances.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Francisco Lindor to Hit a Home Run (+300) (Bet $100 to collect $400)
- Josh Naylor to Hit a Home Run (+350) (Bet $100 to collect $450)
- Jackson Merrill to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
MLB ODDS
