Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Sunday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for August 18th. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - August 18, 2024, 10:48 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Let's start the new week strong!
I've added three home run props for today's 15-game slate in the MLB. Tail along if you'd like!
August 18 Best MLB Home Run Props
Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run (+310) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Over the last month, Anthony Santander has smashed a .329 ISO and wOBA of .392 against his last 93 righties. He's only struck out 18.3% of the time and has hit 36.4% of fly balls with only 22.7% of ground balls against righties.
In addition, Santander has slugged 57.6% of hard contact and has ripped a 13.6% barrel percentage against righties over the last month.
Today, he'll face Kutter Crawford of the Red Sox. Crawford has been awful over the last month, allowing bullets for home runs seemingly nonstop. Over the last month, Crawford has allowed a .431 ISO and wOBA of .441 to his last 108 batters. He's also allowed a .520 ISO and wOBA of .511 to his last 55 lefties.
Santander will bat from the left side against Crawford. Take him to go deep.
Wilyer Abreau to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
We'll stay in the same game. Baltimore will pitch Albert Suarez. He's a righty who has allowed his last 43 lefties to hit a .263 ISO and wOBA of .420.
Those same 43 lefties have smashed 50% of hard contact and have only struck out 18.6% of the time.
That's good news for all the Red Sox lineup lefties. While Boston has a bunch of high-tier lefties, the lefty that stands out the most is Wilyer Abreu. Abreu has added a .328 ISO and wOBA of .434 against his last 71 righties.
Beyond that, he's hit just 22% of ground balls and 39% of fly balls. Abreu has also slugged 70.7% of hard contact and a 17.1% barrel percentage against righties over the last month.
Take a chance with Abreu today.
Hunter Renfroe to Hit a Home Run (+310) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Hunter Renfroe and the Royals will battle Andrew Abbott of the Reds. Abbott is a lefty who has allowed a .256 ISO and wOBA of .403 to his last 100 righties. He's also given up 45.1% of hard contact to righties and has struck out only 20% over the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, Renfroe has smashed a .312 ISO and wOBA of .447 as a righty against lefties over the last month. He's also struck out only 10.5% of the time against lefties while hitting 71.4% of hard contact in that time.
Bobby Witt and Salvador Perez are also great options. But those two are sitting at +255 to hit a home run. We'll side with Renfroe who has slightly more value with just as good stats and analytics.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run (+310) (Bet $100 to collect $410)
- Wilyer Abreau to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
- Hunter Renfroe to Hit a Home Run (+310) (Bet $100 to collect $410)
MLB ODDS
