New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Pick: Tail This oddschecker+ Positive EV Prop for Thursday
Our oddschecker+ Positive EV prop pick of the day comes to us from Thursday's New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres game. Both Matt McCuen and our predictive AI model agree that this is one of the most valuable prop picks on the slate tonight.
Matt McCuen - August 22, 2024, 12:23 PM EDT
6 minNew York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Pick: Tail This oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Thursday
The New York Mets and the San Diego Padres will clash on Thursday night from Petco Park to kick off this four-game series.
This series is crucial for both teams looking to make a playoff push. San Diego has been the best team in baseball since the mid-summer classic (22-7), improving their record to 72-56.
That record places the Padres tied for first place in the NL Wildcard. They trail the first-place Dodgers by four games in the NL West.
Mets vs. Padres Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: August 22, 2024
- Time: 9:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings, SNY
Click here for the latest Mets vs. Padres odds
oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool
After cashing on the Twins yesterday, our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool is dishing out another winner tonight.
Our +EV tool shows us the implied probability of a Machado RBI is 40%. However, our AI probability is 59.34%.
That means the expected value of this prop is 48.35%. Machado is 4-for-17 in his career vs. Severino, with three home runs and five RBIs.
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New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
San Diego has a run differential of +67 this season.
All-Star Jurickson Profar has enjoyed the best year of his career, with a team-best 76 runs batted in.
Rookie Jackson Merrill is in the conversation for NL Rookie of the Year. Merrill is batting a team-best .291 with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs.
Manny Machado has launched a team-best 20 home runs on the campaign.
Dylan Cease will get the rock tonight. Cease is 12-9 with a 3.46 ERA.
New York rolls into this contest with a 66-61 record.
After a sluggish start to the season, New York has played much better over the last few months.
Since July 1st, New York has been 26-20, the sixth-best record in baseball.
The Mets are coming off a crucial series vs the Orioles in which they won two games in walk-off fashion.
New York trails the final wildcard spot in the NL by 1.5 games.
Francisco Lindor leads the squad, batting .266 with 73 RBIs.
Veteran first baseman Pete Alonso has hit a team-best 27 long balls.
JD Martinez has added 14 home runs and 61 runs knocked in.
Luis Severino gets the call tonight. The former Yankee is 8-6 with a 3.91 ERA.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Pick
Pick: Manny Machado RBI +150 Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick
MLB Odds
