Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Opening Day
Baseball is finally back! Jason Radowitz is ready to continue his dominance in the MLB player prop space, and brings us his best MLB home run bets for Opening Day. Tail these top props for March 27th, featuring Bryce Harper and more.
Jason Radowitz - March 27, 2025, 9:45 AM EDT
4 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Opening Day
It's the best time of the year! The MLB season is finally here!
I've got a few home run props that I'm excited to take a chance on tonight. Just remember that on Opening Day, most teams begin the season with their best pitchers. The weather also isn't great in many areas. So tread lightly to start!
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March 27 Best MLB Home Run Props
Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Washington Nationals will send MacKenzie Gore to the mound for opening day. He's a left-handed pitcher, who only struck out 21.5% of lefties last season.
In addition, Gore gave up a .184 ISO and wOBA of .367 to 186 lefties. He also allowed 32.5% of line drives to lefties and gave up 45.5% of hard contact to lefties.
Gore didn't face a ton of lefties as a left-handed pitcher. But he'll take on power sluggers like Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber.
Last season, Harper slugged a .219 ISO and wOBA of .392 against lefties. He added 51% of hard contact against lefties and smashed 29% of fly balls while hitting below 39% of ground balls. He also added a 13.1% barrel percentage against lefties.
I'll take my chances with Harper to hit a home run tonight.
Vinnie Pasquantino to Hit a Home Run (+750) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Vinnie Pasquantino wasn't much of a power threat last season. But it's a new year.
He still smashed a .188 ISO and wOBA of .337 with only 11.1% of strikeouts against right-handed pitching last season.
That'll be helpful against Tanner Bibee of the Cleveland Guardians. Bibee allowed a .197 ISO and wOBA of .348 with only 32.1% of ground balls and 32.1% of fly balls to left-handed batters last season.
Bibee also gave up 47.4% of hard contact to lefties last season.
Why not give Pasquantino a try?
Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Luke Raley slugged a .245 ISO and wOBA of .364 against 373 right-handed pitchers last season.
Tonight, he'll battle Oakland's Luis Severino. Severino pitched for the Mets last season and gave up a .172 ISO and wOBA of .341 to 426 lefties.
He also allowed 49.2% of hard contact and nearly 29% of fly balls to lefties last year. Beyond that, Severino didn't fool many lefties, adding only 9% of swinging strikes with 19.5% of strikeouts.
Raley strikes out a lot. But when he makes contact, it's pure power. Let's give Raley a chance to hit a bomb.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here for the latest Phillies vs. Nationals Odds
- Vinnie Pasquantino to Hit a Home Run (+750) Click here for the latest Guardians vs. Royals Odds
- Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here for the latest A's vs. Mariners Odds
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