Best MLB Home Run Bets: Will Jackson Merrill Go Yard on Wednesday After New Contract Extension?
Jackson Merrill just signed a massive new deal with the Padres for nine years, $135 million. Will that boost him to hit a dinger on Wednesday afternoon against the Guardians? Jason Radowitz likes the angle, and targets a few other stars to go deep today on the April 2nd MLB slate.
Jason Radowitz - April 2, 2025, 11:11 AM EDT
4 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Will Jackson Merrill Go Yard on Wednesday After New Contract Extension?
Many of you guys requested it, so we're back with three home run props for today's MLB slate!
As a reminder, there are many games in the early afternoon. I'll look at the later portion of the slate to allow more time for those who want to tail.
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April 2 Best MLB Home Run Props
Jackson Merill to Hit a Home Run (+400) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
What's better than slugging a home run after signing a massive extension?
Jackson Merrill has smashed a .230 ISO and wOBA of .381 with only 17.6% of strikeouts dating back to last year against righties.
Today, the lefty will battle Ben Lively of the Guardians, who allowed a .194 ISO and wOBA of .320 to 305 lefties last season. Lively allowed 47.4% of hard contact and gave up more than 30% of fly balls to lefties last year.
He started this year allowing a .400 ISO and wOBA of .426 to his first ten lefties.
Meanwhile, Merrill has slugged 35.2% of fly balls and just 34% of ground balls against his last 442 righties. He's also added 55.7% of hard contact and a 12.6% barrel percentage.
Let's back Merrill to go deep today.
Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+330) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Juan Soto has had a lot of loud outs to begin the season.
Tonight, I like him to get one over the fence.
Soto has unloaded a .289 ISO and wOBA of .432 against his last 498 righties dating back to last season. He's also struck out only 18.5% of the time and has hit 66% of hard contact with a 21.3% barrel percentage.
He'll battle a right-hander in Connor Gillispie of the Marlins. Gillispie has already faced ten lefties this season. However, those ten lefties have hit a .375 ISO with 33.3% of fly balls.
All in all, Gillispie has allowed a .211 ISO and wOBA of .330 to start the season. Soto should be able to take advantage as one of the best hitters in the game.
Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Rockies will pitch left-hander Kyle Freeland tonight. Freeland looked tremendous in his opening start. He struck out 35% of batters, walked none, and allowed a .000 ISO with a wOBA of .089.
But don't expect this all season from Freeland. After all, he allowed a .211 ISO and wOBA of .356 to 492 batters last season.
Righties hit a .205 ISO and wOBA of .346 with 26.2% of fly balls and 50.5% of hard contact.
Meanwhile, Nick Castellanos is the most powerful right-handed bat in the Phillies' lineup. He's added a .228 ISO and wOBA of .358 against his last 176 lefties dating back to last season. Castellanos has hit 32.5% of fly balls, 28.5% of line drives, and 48% of hard contact.
Let's back Castellanos to hit a long ball.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Jackson Merill to Hit a Home Run (+400) Click here for the latest Guardians vs. Padres Odds
- Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+330) Click here for the latest Mets vs. Marlins Odds
- Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here for the latest Rockies vs. Phillies Odds
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