Best MLB Home Run Bets: Will Freddie Freeman, Austin Riley Find Friday Success?
The weekend series will begin anew on Friday evening, headlined by a Dodgers vs. Rangers clash. Can Freddie Freeman go yard and get his team cooking into the weekend? Jason Radowitz is targeting him and others in his best MLB home run bets for Friday, April 18th.
Jason Radowitz - April 18, 2025, 10:20 AM EDT
4 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Will Freddie Freeman, Austin Riley Find Friday Success?
Unfortunately, we didn't nail a home run bet yesterday. But we've still hit one in two of the last three days. Let's get back on track with today's three best bets!
Here are my three favorite home run props for today's MLB action.
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April 18 Best MLB Home Run Props
Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Austin Riley has smacked a .224 ISO and wOBA of .352 against righties this season. The right-handed power slugger has also hit 36.1% of fly balls and 47.2% of line drives, while adding just 8.3% of ground balls against righties this season.
Meanwhile, he'll take on Chris Paddack of the Minnesota Twins. Paddack has allowed a .219 ISO and wOBA of .401 to his first 40 righties as a right-handed pitcher. He's also struck out just 15% of righties and has walked 12.5% of righties.
He's also allowed 31% of fly balls and more than 24% of line drives to righties this season. Conversly, Riley has added 63.9% of hard contact with a 22.2% barrel percentage against righties.
Consider Riley to go deep tonight.
Freddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
I'm not in the business of fading top-tier pitching. But I've got to fade Jacob deGrom right now.
Jacob deGrom was once a phenom. This year, he's not anything like that. Instead, the right-hander has allowed a .452 ISO and wOBA of .456 to his first 37 lefties faced this season. deGrom has also allowed 40% of fly balls and has induced just 40% of ground balls against lefties this season.
In addition, deGrom has earned 16.2% of strikeouts and has walked 13.5% of batters. He's been terrible against lefties.
On the other hand, the Dodgers have some really good lefties in the lineup. Shohei Ohtani is the first name that comes to mind, but he's only +250 to hit a home run. Therefore, we'll roll with Freddie Freeman.
Freeman has slugged a .524 ISO and wOBA of .603 with only 4.2% of strikeouts against righties this season. He's also hit 35% of fly balls with 55% of hard contact and a 20% barrel percentage. All of these numbers look great against deGrom's numbers.
Take Freeman to go yard.
Gavin Sheets to Hit a Home Run (+600) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Gavin Sheets has been one of the few batters on the Padres to show off some power against righties this season. Other than Fernando Tatis, Sheets is the only player with an ISO of at least .140 or better against rightes. Sheets currently has a .190 ISO against righties as a left-handed batter.
He's also added a .391 wOBA and has limited strikeouts to 21.3% against righties. Furthermore, Sheets has earned 42.4% of line drives with 63.6% of hard contact. He's also hit 24.2% of ground balls against righties this season.
Meanwhile, he'll battle Ryan Gusto of the Houston Astros. Gusto has faced 17 lefties this season as a right-handed pitcher and has allowed a .438 ISO and wOBA of .415. He's been good against righties but is getting absolutely torched by lefties.
Let's see if Sheets can take advantage.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see the best Twins vs. Braves Odds
- Freddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see the best Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds
- Gavin Sheets to Hit a Home Run (+600) Click here to see the best Padres vs. Astros
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