Phillies vs. Braves Best Bets: 5 Top Props for NL Wild Card Game 3

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction: Targeting Ronald Acuna Jr., Brandon Marsh in Thursday's NL Wild Card Game 3

Philadelphia erased a late deficit Wednesday to beat Atlanta 4-3 in 10 innings and even the Wild Card Series at one game apiece. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper went back-to-back in the eighth before Alec Bohm delivered the go-ahead homer in the 10th, setting up a decisive Game 3 at Truist Park.

Aaron Nola gets the start for Philadelphia, while Atlanta plans to open with Ray Kerr before turning to Grant Holmes and a potentially aggressive bullpen deployment. With both seasons on the line, the five selections span hitter production, a Nola strikeout market and the outright winner.

Phillies vs. Braves Date, Time, and Where to Watch

• Date: Thursday, October 1st, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• How to Watch: NBC, Peacock

Phillies vs. Braves Odds

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Phillies vs. Braves 5 Best Bets Breakdown for MLB Playoffs Game 1

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs (+205) Check out the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook

Acuña has gone quiet through the first two games of the series, but a winner-take-all Game 3 gives Atlanta every reason to keep its best hitter near the top of the order and maximize his plate appearances. The RBI threshold is also extremely manageable, requiring only one productive swing with a runner in scoring position rather than a full multi-hit or power game.

Nola gives Acuña a right-on-right matchup, but Atlanta should have multiple chances to create traffic ahead of him across nine innings. At +205, the price leaves room for the recent lack of production while offering substantial upside if the Braves' top of the order finally breaks through.

2. Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Hits (+125) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Marsh's spot in the lower half of the Philadelphia order naturally limits the number of opportunities compared with the Phillies' stars at the top. In an elimination game, aggressive bullpen usage can also create difficult matchup changes late rather than allowing him to settle into repeated looks against one pitcher.

The Under only needs Marsh to go hitless, and walks, strikeouts or run-producing outs do not hurt the wager. Getting plus money on a 0.5-hit Under is appealing when the hitter may see only three or four plate appearances and could face multiple different arms.

3. Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Singles (-106) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

This market is narrower than a traditional hits Under because Stott can still reach base through a walk or collect an extra-base hit without losing the wager. The bet is specifically fading the most common hit outcome, which creates more ways for the Under to survive than a standard Under 0.5 hits prop.

Stott should receive a solid number of plate appearances, but Atlanta can mix pitchers aggressively with the season on the line. At nearly even money, the combination of a specific single-only threshold and a matchup likely to feature several pitching changes makes the Under attractive.

4. Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-128) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

Nola does not need a dominant postseason start to clear this number. Four strikeouts is a low threshold for a starter with a deep enough arsenal to generate swings and misses against both sides of the plate, and even five innings could provide enough opportunities to get there.

The main concern is workload in a winner-take-all game, since Philadelphia has little reason to leave Nola in if trouble arrives early. Still, the threshold accounts for that risk. He does not need to work deep into the game, and a relatively normal opening four or five innings can be enough to produce four strikeouts.

5. Atlanta Braves Moneyline (-102) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook

Atlanta gets the deciding game at home after splitting two tight contests to open the series, with each team already showing it can create late-inning offense against the other. Rather than laying a significant price in an elimination game, the Braves are essentially being offered at even money to advance with one home victory.

The pitching plan also gives Atlanta flexibility to attack Philadelphia's lineup with different looks instead of asking one starter to navigate the order three times. Combine that with the Braves' ability to turn the game over to a deep bullpen and a lineup capable of changing the score with one swing, and -102 is a reasonable price on Atlanta to finish the series at home.

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