Brewers vs. Padres Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest NLDS Game 4 Odds for Wednesday Night
The Brewers and Padres return to Petco Park for Game 4 on Wednesday with Milwaukee still one win away from the NLCS after San Diego extended the series with a 4-3 victory Tuesday. Can Robert Gasser and Walker Buehler control the scoring environment as the Padres try to force a decisive Game 5? Check out these Padres vs. Brewers 2 best bets for Wednesday, October 7.
Peter Alexis - October 7, 2026, 9:30 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadBrewers vs. Padres Prediction: Can
San Diego survived elimination with a 4-3 Game 3 victory, cutting Milwaukee's series lead to 2-1 and earning another home game at Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth's go-ahead home run helped the Padres stay alive, while the Brewers now get another opportunity to close out the series.
Game 4 features Robert Gasser for Milwaukee against Walker Buehler for San Diego, setting up another matchup with a relatively low total. The two-pick card keeps things simple with Milwaukee on the moneyline and an Under position in another potentially tight elimination game.
Brewers vs. Padres Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Tuesday, October 7th, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- How to Watch: FS1
Brewers vs. Padres Odds
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Brewers vs. Padres Best Bets Breakdown for NLDS Game 4
1. Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline (+100) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Milwaukee presents significant value at +100 odds, backed by an AI win probability of 68.0%. The Brewers hold a clear starting pitching edge with Robert Gasser, who has posted a 1.88 ERA and 0.88 WHIP over his last five starts, significantly outperforming Walker Buehler’s 4.96 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in the same span.
Milwaukee’s offense, which averaged 4.71 runs per game, matches up well against Buehler, who has surrendered five home runs in his last 22.1 innings. With an elite bullpen featuring Trevor Megill (2.53 ERA) and Abner Uribe (1.89 ERA) ready to shorten the game, the Brewers are well-positioned to secure a road victory against a Padres lineup projected for only 3.04 runs.
2. Under 7.5 (-108) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
In a tight postseason environment, the Under 7.5 provides a strong value angle with a 62.7% probability. Starting pitcher Robert Gasser has been exceptionally efficient at limiting damage, surrendering just two home runs over his last 27.0 innings. Both clubs feature high-caliber bullpen depth capable of suppressing late-inning rallies; Milwaukee maintains a 3.46 season ERA from their relievers, while San Diego counters with Bradgley Rodriguez (2.17 ERA) and Adrian Morejon (2.80 ERA).
Although the Padres possess power (188 regular-season HRs), Gasser’s low walk rate (2.0 per game) minimizes the risk of multi-run innings. The model projects a median total of 7.74 runs, making the nearly even-money price on Under 7.5 a mathematically sound selection.
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