ThatGuyBets' Premium Pick for Hornets vs Wizards
ThatGuyBets is posting an ROI of 62.55% for the NBA. He shares his premium pick for the Hornets vs Wizards.
Josh Gayle - November 7, 2022, 1:16 PM EST
5 minThatGuyBets' Premium Pick for Hornets vs Wizards
We found a plus-money gem.
0.5u - Terry Rozier o3.5 3PM (+135) $50 to win $67.50. Click here for the best odds, available at DraftKings
This one is of incredible value. DraftKings is giving us this prop for +135 when I see it for -110 elsewhere. The number may look intimidating but Rozier has hit this in 2/3 games this year and will be without both Lamelo and Hayward tonight so he should be the main scorer in this offense. Bradley Beal is out for Washington so this game could remain close between lower-tier Eastern Conference teams.
Rozier last game shot 14 threes. If he replicated that volume then we just need him to shoot 28% to hit this. Washington is a great team to attack because they allow the seventh most 3PM in the league. Rozier has a great history against the Wizards as well. Rozier has 5+ 3PM in five of his last seven and all we need is four. Rozier's points prop is at 23.5 and 24.5 so we just need half of his scoring to come from deep.
We are playing this for just half a unit because the number is high but I think this has a 45-50% chance of hitting so getting +135 has value. Charlotte will be heavily reliant on Rozier and Oubre and Washington without Beal should be less likely to blow them out. Rozier was not shy to let it fly last game and should have the green light to shoot some more tonight. Let's get this in quick and let's roll!
