ThatGuyBets' Premium Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Pick
The Rockets will be traveling to Denver to take on the Nuggets for some Monday night NBA action. Handicapper ThatGuyBets' is here with his best premium bet for tonight!
Josh Gayle - November 28, 2022, 3:56 PM EST
2 minJosh Gayle's Premium Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Pick
1u - Jamal Murray o4.5 1st Quarter Points (-140) Bet $100 to collect $170. DraftKings has the best odds, click here
This one feels good. Jamal Murray faces a Rockets team who allows the seventh most points to point guards and the fourth most three-pointers made. Denver will likely be without Michael Porter Jr. in this one, so they will rely more heavily on Murray to assist Jokic with the scoring load. I like this pick rather than being involved with the full game due to the fear of a blowout. If you don’t have this market, I would just lay off, because he could be crushing through 3 quarters but rest the 4th.
Jamal Murray's points prop is set at 19.5 so it’s expected he gets about five points a quarter in theory. Us taking this instead of that prop ensures that we don’t end in a scenario where he’s between 15-19 points and doesn’t check back in due to Denver crushing Houston. Without MPJ we have seen Jamal Murray average an extra point per game, and this a great matchup against Houston who allows the seventh most points in the NBA.
Jamal Murray has 5+ first-quarter points in three of his last four games with seven, two, seven, and five points. Now without MPJ, I would expect another fast start for him. This could cash with two makes knowing Murray shoots nearly five threes a game. Last game we saw Murray score five points in the first two minutes of the game; I wouldn't hate if he did that again but I don't really mind how long it takes him as long as he gets the job done. Let's roll!
