Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Best Bet: Can Michael Porter Jr. Turn It Around in NBA Finals Game 4?
After having a not-so-stellar NBA Finals so far, can Michael Porter Jr. turn it around in Game 4? Ben Rajavuori answers and shares his best bet for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Finals Game 4. Check it out!
Ben Rajavuori - June 9, 2023, 4:27 PM EDT
5 minMiami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Best Bet: Can Michael Porter Jr. Turn It Around in NBA Finals Game 4?
The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets have gone back and forth in the Finals so far, with the Nuggets taking Games 1 and 3 and the Heat taking Game 2. The Heat must keep the zig-zag effect in play tonight to avoid facing elimination in Game 5 in Denver on Monday. On the other side, the Nuggets have a solid chance to finish this series on Monday, but they will need some role players to step up outside of Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. One player who really needs to step up is Michael Porter Jr., and I am betting on him in Game 4 to do so.
Heat vs. Nuggets Game 4 Start Time and Where to Watch
- Date: June 9, 2023
- Game Time: 8:30 pm ET
- Where to Watch: ABC
Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Game 4 Prediction
The Nuggets and Heat had heavy production from their one and two guys in Game 3, Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler for the Heat and Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray for the Nuggets. Jokic and Murray combined for 68 of the Nugget's 109 points, while Butler and Bam combined for 50 of the Heat's 94 points. For both sides, the role players have to step up. No one has been worse in the Finals as a starter than Michael Porter Jr.
Michael Porter Jr. has been less than stellar in the Finals so far. He actually had a decent Game 1, scoring 14 points and grabbing 13 rebounds. Although, he did shoot 2-11 from three. In Games 2 and 3, Porter had a combined seven points on a combined 1-8 effort from three to bring his series total to 3-19 from behind the arc.
As a result, Porter's minutes have dropped heavily. He logged 43 minutes in Game 1 but dropped to 26 minutes in Game 2 and had a postseason LOW of 21 minutes in Game 3. However, despite his struggles, Malone has remained confident Porter will bounce back.
Malone has said that Porter will remain a starter for Game 4, and he "just needs a few to fall" to get going. Porter is still a young player, so his confidence has probably taken a hit after poor performances in the first three games, which is why Bruce Brown has gotten more minutes. Still, Porter is a better pure scorer, and the Nuggets really need him and the other role players to get going to finish the series off.
Porter's line has taken a significant hit after his minutes dropped in Games 2 and 3, along with his scoring. After his points prop topping 17.5 in Game 1, his points line has fallen all the way to 10.5 in Game 4. This is a perfect buy-low spot. Malone has already said Porter will remain in the starting lineup, and Porter is still the third leading scorer in the postseason behind Jamal Murray and Jokic with 13.3 points per game. Porter's size is an advantage against the Heat in this series, and if he can get a few early shots to fall, he is due for a big game.
Porter is also the second-leading rebounder in the postseason behind Jokic with 8.1 rebounds per game, and he has grabbed at least six boards in seven straight games and has grabbed 10+ boards in six of his last ten games. This line has dropped so low that I have to grab it, despite the dropping minutes becoming a scary factor for Porter. Also, Porter's threes line has dropped as well. To make 3+ threes, Porter has dropped to +200 on FanDuel, which is insane. Porter Jr. has averaged the second-most three-point attempts behind Jamal Murray.
Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Game 4 Best Bet
Pick: Michael Porter Jr. Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds -12 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
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