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The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Indiana to take on the Pacers tonight. Can Damian Lillard dish it out? Hollywood Picks provides his Bucks vs. Pacers prediction and pick
ANALYSIS

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Prediction: Can Damian Lillard Dish It Out?

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers don't like each other and have had competitive games every time they have played this season. But, there are some players who shine in this game more than others. And I believe I have found an under line that is perfect for us to play tonight.

Bucks vs. Pacers Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: January 3, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Prediction

Damian Lillard has gone under this line of 7.5 assists in 21 out of 31 games this season and is averaging 6.8 assists. I really don't understand the books having this as his line to be honest.

This line was at 7.5 before Kris Middleton had started to get his normal minutes rotation back. Since Middleton has seen 30+ minutes, Lillard has seen a 3.2 potential assists drop off and almost a two percent drop off in usage.

Now this matchup is quite favorable for Lillard here against the Pacers as a lot of his assists come from the rim in which Pacers are poor at but the fact that Lillard in three games against them had seven, six, and five which looks very promising for this line to go under.

This was a big factor as Giannis Antetokounmpo clearly wants to have the ball against the Pacers in a matchup where Lillard has seen a four percent drop in usage and a 2.5 potential drop off in the three games against the Pacers this season.

There isn't too much analysis here but the line seems odd seeing how this was the line before Middleton returned and we've clearly seen a drop in production from Lillard from the result of Middleton's return and the dominance of Giannis when playing against the Indiana Pacers.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Pick

Damian Lillard Under 7.5 Assists (-140) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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Article Author

MLBNFL

Hollywood Picks is known for his player prop parlays and specializes in NBA, NFL, and MLB. His passion for sports and data has helped him excel in the sports betting community as he brings his daily best bets to OddsChecker.

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