Best NBA Prop Picks: Lock In This Expert's Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday
There are seven NBA games scheduled for tonight. Jason Radowitz is here with his best NBA prop picks for March 7th. Lock in this expert's best NBA prop bets for Thursday.
Jason Radowitz - March 7, 2024, 9:32 AM EST
5 minBest NBA Prop Picks: Lock In This Expert's Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday
We ended last night with a 3-2 record, adding another day of slight profit to the bankroll. We had De'Aaron Fox score 26.5 points, and he finished with a career-high 44 points in the win.
It's always fun when reads like that workout.
After two consecutive days of profit, we're looking for a third. Here's another handful of player props for tonight's NBA slate.
March 7 Best NBA Player Props
PJ Washington Over 12.5 Points (-128) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
P.J. Washington has played in ten games for the Mavericks since coming over at the NBA Trade Deadline.
In those ten games, he's added 12.4 points per night in 32.4 minutes. However, recently, he's been getting a little more comfortable.
Washington has scored at least 13 points in four straight games. He's also added at least 17 points in three of those four games.
Tonight, he's facing a Miami defense that ranks 24th in points allowed to power forwards this year. Washington is coming off a 4-for-8 three-point night against the Pacers and has seen at least 35 minutes in three consecutive games.
Take his Over.
Alex Caruso Over 8.5 Points (-111) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Alex Caruso might not be the most consistent shooter in the NBA. However, he's seen 34 minutes in back-to-back games and has taken at least nine shots in both of those matchups.
In his last five games, Caruso has attempted at least five threes in each game and at least six in four of the last five games. He won't shoot 50% from downtown—he's more of a 30% three-point shooter—but the volume is there.
If he takes about ten shots tonight, that would be enough. He would essentially need to hit two threes and two shots inside the arc or just three threes.
Meanwhile, the Warriors rank dead last in points allowed to shooting guards this season. Caruso has hit this line in 70% of his previous 20.
Bradley Beal Over 3.5 Rebounds (-150) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Last time out against the Denver Nuggets, Bradley Beal added six rebounds in 36 minutes. He's now added at least four rebounds in 67% of games this season and has nailed this line in 75% of his last 20 games.
He'll take on the Raptors, who rank 28th in rebounds allowed to shooting guards this season. Beal had success hitting this line last year against the Raptors and shouldn't have any problems against this Raptors team that really struggles to limit shooting guards on the glass.
Beal should see more than 30 minutes tonight.
Terry Rozier Over 3.5 Rebounds (-122) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Terry Rozier has struggled to earn rebounds over the last two games. But now we have a low enough line to take a gamble on him.
Rozier has still added at least four rebounds in 60% of his last 20 games and seven of his last ten. Despite adding two in each of his last two games, I like this Rozier line tonight.
The Mavericks rank 26th in rebounds allowed to point guards this year, and Rozier is still getting 30+ minutes with the Heat per game. In February, Rozier averaged over five rebounds a game and saw 31 minutes a night.
I think he will get back to those types of numbers tonight against a poor Mavericks team that doesn't limit point guards very well on the glass.
Mike Conley Under 2.5 Threes (-154) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Mike Conley has nailed at least three threes in none of his last four games. He's hit this line in just 37% of games this year and has nailed it in only 25% of his last 20 games.
That's not ideal, especially going up against a Pacers team that ranks second in the entire NBA at limiting point guards from three-point field goals.
Conley will have games where he'll only take four shots total. He's done that in two of the last four games.
In February, he nailed 46.3% from downtown on about five attempts per game. I highly doubt he sustains that in March. Give me the Under.
Best NBA Player Prop Bets Today
- PJ Washington Over 12.5 Points (-128) (Bet $128 to collect $228)
- Alex Caruso Over 8.5 Points (-111) (Bet $111 to collect $211)
- Bradley Beal Over 3.5 Rebounds (-150) (Bet $150 to collect $250)
- Terry Rozier Over 3.5 Rebounds (-122) (Bet $122 to collect $222)
- Mike Conley Under 2.5 Threes (-154) (Bet $154 to collect $254)
NBA ODDS
