Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest NBA Play-In Tournament Odds
The Golden State Warriors have hit a mini hot streak towards the end of the season, buoyed by strong defense from Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler. Can the Warriors keep this game low scoring tonight against Luka Doncic and the Lakers? Jason Radowitz is targeting the total in this Warriors vs. Lakers prediction for Thursday, April 3rd.
Jason Radowitz
| 5 min
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest NBA Play-In Tournament Odds
The Memphis Grizzlies will battle the Golden State Warriors for 7th place in the Western Conference in tonight's Play-In matchup.
The Warriors defeated the Grizzlies in three of four games. Therefore, despite identical records, the Warriors landed 7th place in the standings and earned the right to host this first play-in tournament game against the Grizzlies.
Ultimately, the winner of this game will earn a playoff series against the Houston Rockets. The loser will need to play the winner of the 9-10 game in the Western Conference between the Sacramento Kings and the Dallas Mavericks.
Therefore, the loser of tonight's game won't be sent home just yet. They'll have another opportunity to land a playoff spot later this week.
That said, in the most recent matchup between the Grizzlies and Warriors, Stephen Curry dropped 52 points, and Jimmy Butler chipped in with 27 points. Those two combined for 79 points in a win over Memphis.
Should we expect the same tonight?
Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for tonight's Play-In Tournament game between the Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Odds
- Moneyline: Grizzlies +250, Warriors -315
- Spread: Grizzlies +7.5 (-115), Warriors -7.5 (-105)
- Total: Over 228.5 (-115), Under 228.5 (-105)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
- Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: TNT, Max
Click here for latest Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Memphis Grizzlies have added 118.3 points per 100 possessions this season. They've hit a 55.7% effective field goal percentage and have added 31.8% of offensive rebounds per game.
However, it'll be difficult to play this well offensively against the Warriors. Golden State ranks fourth in the NBA in defensive turnover percentage, and they have allowed 27.1% of offensive rebounds.
Memphis will likely be limited on the offensive glass, and the Grizzlies will likely give up a bunch of turnovers in this game. After all, the Warriors rank 7th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions on defense. The Warriors can certainly land some stops at home.
On the other hand, the Grizzlies have allowed a 20.7 free-throw rate and 28.4% of offensive rebounds, which are two areas where the Warriors can attack.
Golden State has added nearly 30% of offensive rebounds. They've also earned a 19 free throw rate. Per the stats, you should expect the Warriors to win the glass, earn more foul shots, and easily win the turnover battle.
Golden State has scored at least 121 points in each of its wins over the Grizzlies. The offense should get some quality looks from the floor against Memphis. I'd also expect the Warriors to do more of the little things that will help them advance into the playoffs.
I'm backing the Warriors at -7.5.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Pick
- Pick: Warriors -7.5 (-105) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best price on Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds
NBA ODDS
