Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction: Can T.J. McConnell Spark Pacers to NBA Finals Upset in Game 7?
T.J. McConnell has made a big difference when on the floor for Indiana in the NBA Finals. He has played more minutes in the last two games, topping 20 minutes. With the NBA championship on the line, McConnell is in a good spot to cash in on some props. Find out the best one to take on Sunday night as Adam Ronis breaks down his Thunder vs. Pacers prediction for Game 7 of the NBA Finals.

Adam Ronis
| 4 Minute Read
Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction: Can T.J. McConnell Spark Pacers to NBA Finals Upset in Game 7?
Very few predicted the NBA Finals to go seven games. Indiana was a big underdog entering the series and has been an underdog in every game and has pushed Oklahoma City to a seventh game. The Pacers dominated Game 6 at home, 108-91. Six players scored in double-figures, led by Obi Toppin with 20 points. Tyrese Haliburton played with a calf injury and didn’t need to play much in the second half, notching 14 points and five assists in only 23 minutes.
The Pacers have won 10 games as an underdog in the postseason. The last finals to go seven games was in 2016 when the Cavaliers came back from 3-1 to beat Golden State. The Thunder played a Game 7 in the second round and beat Denver at home, 125-93. The home team is 15-4 in an NBA Finals Game 7. The Thunder are 10-2 in the postseason at home. The Pacers are 7-4 on the road. The Thunder have scored at least 110 points in all 12 home games in the playoffs. The Thunder aim to cap off a 68-win regular season with the NBA championship when they host the Pacers on Sunday night.
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Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7 Odds
- Spread: Pacers +7 (-110), Thunder -7 (-110)
- Moneyline: Pacers (+235), Thunder (-260)
- Total: Over 216.5 (-106), Under 216.5 (-114)
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7 Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, June 22, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 pm ET
- Where to Watch: ABC
Click here for latest Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7 Odds
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7 Prediction
It’s clear any time T.J. McConnell is on the floor, he’s made a big difference for the Pacers. He’s aggressive on defense and pushing the pace on offense. He hasn’t needed many minutes to put up stats.
He should be playing more and the Pacers guard has seen the minutes increase in the series. After playing a max of 18 minutes through the first four games, McConnell has played 22 and 24 minutes the last two games. McConnell has been coming into the game earlier in the first quarter, too. With Tyrese Haliburton dealing with a calf injury, McConnell could play more and handle the ball more often.
Even when McConnell played only 15 minutes in Game 3, he still went over this line with 10 points and five assists. In Game 5 in Oklahoma City, McConnell had 18 points and four assists in 22 minutes. Last game, he had 12 points and six assists. Over the last two games, McConnell has taken 26 shots from the field in 46 minutes.
McConnell has gone over 13.5 points+assists in four of the six games and had 13 in Game 1 in only 17 minutes. He is averaging 11.3 points and 4.5 assists in the series with nine potential assists in only 19 minutes per game. He is shooting 53.7% from the field and shot 51.9% from the field in the regular season.
The Pacers have a +10.4 net rating with McConnell on the floor and he has been a spark for the second unit. McConnell has consistently produced against a top tier defense.
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7 Pick
- Pick: T.J. McConnell Over 13.5 Points+Assists (-125) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best Pacers vs. Thunder prop odds for NBA Finals Game 7
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