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Mavericks PJ Washington

Top 5 Betting Picks for Friday, November 28th - Expert Predictions & Value Plays for Friday's NBA Slate

The Wolf is set to attack the NBA slate on Friday, November 28th, and there is value with PJ Washington props and other stars in this Mavs vs. Lakers showdown. Check out the Wolf Top 5 Props for tonight's NBA slate.

The Wolf - November 28, 2025, 8:00 PM EST

5 Minute Read

Top 5 Betting Picks for Friday, November 28th - Finding Value with PJ Washington, D'Angelo Russell Tonight in Mavs vs. Lakers

The Wolf is back for a special Black Friday edition of the Top 5 Props, hunting value deep into the late night West Coast matchups. While the rest of the market is distracted by holiday chaos and early NFL lines, The Wolf turns his focus to the NBA board where the AI projections light up across multiple props. These late night games often bring softer numbers, slower-moving lines, and hidden opportunities.

As always, these Top 5 Props are powered by FairPlay AI projections and delivered in The Wolf’s signature format. And if you want even more edges tonight, the Oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool is loaded with dozens of profitable angles across the league.

Looking for advanced AI predictions and props to enhance your NBA betting? Try out oddschecker+ now on this limited time 7-day free trial!

The Wolf Top 5 Betting Picks - Friday, November 28th

1. Jock Landale Over 7.5 Points (-126) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

  • EV: 34.73%
  • AI Probability: 75.27%
  • Hit Rate: 70%

Landale has quietly become one of the most reliable low volume scorers in late night windows. He’s cleared this number in 7 of his last 10 games, and the matchup lines up perfectly against a Memphis interior that has struggled to contain stretch bigs. He gets clean looks in the short roll and finishes at a high clip. This is one of the strongest edges of the night.

2. Dylan Harper Over 11.5 Points (+102) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

  • EV: 41.4%
  • AI Probability: 70%
  • Hit Rate: 71.43%

The Spurs rookie continues to impress in the early stretch of his career, and the books still haven’t caught up to his usage. Harper has exceeded 11.5 points in 5 of his last 7 games and draws another pace friendly matchup. As long as his minutes hold, this remains a buy spot.

3. PJ Washington Over 5.5 Rebounds (-115) Check out the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook

  • EV: 41.65%
  • AI Probability: 75.57%
  • Hit Rate: 90%

Washington is quietly playing some of his best basketball, and his rebounding numbers are elite relative to this line. He’s cleared 5.5 rebounds in 9 of his last 10 games, with strong consistency both at home and on the road. The late night Lakers matchup gives him ample opportunities on the defensive glass.

4. Vince Williams Jr. Under 1.5 Threes (-138) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

  • EV: 39.32%
  • AI Probability: 81%
  • Hit Rate: 60%

One of the best values on the slate comes from a Memphis role player. Williams has failed to exceed 1.5 threes in 6 of his last 10 games, and his volume fluctuates significantly depending on matchups. The model loves this under, projecting limited attempts in a slower paced game.

5. D’Angelo Russell Over 7.5 Points (-117) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

  • EV: 34.99%
  • AI Probability: 72.97%
  • Hit Rate: 60%

Late night in LA, Russell continues to bring steady scoring off the dribble. He’s hit this number in 6 of his last 10 games, and the Lakers matchup gives him the midrange space he prefers against his old team. With the usage stable, this ranks as one of the cleanest overs on the board.

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